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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV BSSUNX, SN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 14:09 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were MTL 26, TBL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (2 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (25 saves, .962), 3. Victor Hedman (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0100917126
TBLTBL213113112438

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(10)
    V. Hedman (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:55
  2. TBL
    B. Point(18)PPG
    N. Kucherov (37), M. Sergachev (23)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    14:09

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(19)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.31win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    16:00

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(13)
    Z. Bogosian (1), V. Hedman (19)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    8:31
  2. MTL
    K. Guhle(2)
    J. Edmundson (4), C. Dvorak (8)
    slapxG 0.04
    1-4
    17:21

Penalties

MTL 9 PIM·TBL 17 PIM

1st

  • 2:38TBLNick Perbix · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 12:40MTLJohnathan Kovacevic · Interferencedrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 16:46TBLNick Perbix · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 6:36TBLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:01TBLAlex Killorn · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 15:43TBLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 15:43MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 18:32TBLIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 18:52TBLMikhail Sergachev · Holdingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 18:52MTLNick Suzuki · High stickingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 1st 14:09 — TBL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.40B. Point · Goal · xG 0.31P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.27S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.22B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.21A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.16P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.16B. Point · Goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.15C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.14B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.14C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.13P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.12V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · Missed · xG 0.11I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.07I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL4 G · 4.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
1.91 G
All situations
4 G4.6
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G4.1
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL15%85%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 4.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
26
Shots on goal
38
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/5
Power play
1/1
9
Penalty minutes
17
25
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
3
9
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14N. SuzukiC000010.170022920:51
22C. CaufieldR000030.35000—20:25
44J. EdmundsonD011020.04040—19:18
21K. GuhleD101030.07100—19:05
77K. DachC000-110.211101318:48
54J. HarrisD000-220.17200—18:45
72A. XhekajD000-120.09200—17:53
27J. DrouinL000-100.002103617:37
28C. DvorakC011-110.310205016:47
68M. HoffmanC000-110.03000016:44
26J. KovacevicD000010.01022—16:18
17J. AndersonR000-130.26310—16:16
52J. BarronD000-110.08100—15:37
20J. SlafkovskýL000-110.05500—14:33
40J. ArmiaR000010.02110—13:46
90A. RichardC000010.02210013:46
71J. EvansC000010.010006312:57
55M. PezzettaL000010.02505—09:05
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)38344.8954.58+0.5860:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).