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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸2
Calgary Flames
1
FinalTV SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 2-1. The Flames scored first; the Oilers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 7:28 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 55% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 22, CGY 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 46 of 47 (.979), 3.1 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Stuart Skinner (46 saves, .979), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G), 3. Brett Ritchie.

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    S. Skinner46 saves, .979
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Ritchie

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM091914222
CGYCGY010113024147

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(7)
    A. Mangiapane (8), B. Coleman (8)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:12
  2. EDM
    T. Barrie(5)
    K. Yamamoto (6)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    4:58

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(31)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (36), Z. Hyman (22)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    7:28

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:47CGYserved by M. Lucic · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 6:46CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Slashingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
  • 13:10EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

3rd

  • 7:15CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Holdingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 3rd 7:28 — EDM 55% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.25J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.18A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.18A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.17T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.16T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.13D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.13B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.11M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.11M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.11M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.11M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.00B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 4.1 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
1.92 G
All situations
1 G4.1
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G3.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM18%82%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 4.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
22
Shots on goal
47
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
20
25
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
15
12
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-130.08030—23:54
5C. CeciD000-100.00020—22:39
97C. McDavidC101010.120304021:09
18Z. HymanL011020.29000—20:29
2E. BouchardD000000.02110—19:40
22T. BarrieD101+140.10030—19:19
29L. DraisaitlC011+150.691205019:10
27B. KulakD000+100.00130—17:57
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-120.160004417:38
37W. FoegeleL000+100.07110—15:55
56K. YamamotoR011+110.09110—15:33
13J. PuljujarviR000010.07102—15:30
26M. JanmarkC000-100.00010014:35
80M. NiemelainenD000010.08120—12:47
71R. McLeodC000010.061106711:46
10D. RyanC000000.000002510:51
21K. KostinC000-100.00310010:18
55D. HollowayL000010.13210—08:50
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)47461.9794.14+3.1460:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).