Skip to content
Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan McLeod's goal at 14:54 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 15% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 42, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Stuart Skinner stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 3.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Stuart Skinner (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Michael Stone (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    S. Skinner31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Stone1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY416011015442
EDMEDM11121008329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(1)
    M. Stone (1), B. Coleman (1)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:13
  2. EDM
    C. Ceci(1)
    K. Yamamoto (1), L. Draisaitl (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:18
  3. CGY
    M. Stone(1)
    K. Rooney (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    4:34
  4. CGY
    N. Kadri(1)PPG
    M. Stone (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    7:41
  5. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(1)
    N. Kadri (2), D. Dube (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    4-1
    10:18

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(4)PPG
    E. Kane (2), L. Draisaitl (4)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    10:46
  2. EDM
    R. McLeod(1)
    R. Murray (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    14:54

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:34EDMBrad Malone · Slashingdrawn by Brett Ritchie2 min
  • 4:34CGYBrett Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Malone2 min
  • 5:31CGYRasmus Andersson · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 6:41EDMserved by J. Puljujarvi · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:25EDMZach Hyman · Boardingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 16:56CGYMilan Lucic · Cross checkingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

2nd

  • 9:40CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 15:36EDMRyan McLeod · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 2:54EDMBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 7:31CGYDillon Dube · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan McLeod, 2nd 14:54 — EDM 15% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.19C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.18E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.17R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.15E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.15E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.14R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.13T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 3.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
4.34 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.41 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY70%30%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.24 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
42
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
36
Hits
39
14
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
19
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. TanevD000-110.02210—23:04
4R. AnderssonD000000.00122—21:36
52M. WeegarD000-130.10420—21:35
55N. HanifinD000030.13500—20:26
28E. LindholmC000040.591003819:17
11M. BacklundC101060.631005619:14
16N. ZadorovD000+210.01310—16:54
10J. HuberdeauL000010.30100—16:18
22T. LewisC000040.280005015:52
73T. ToffoliC000-110.16200015:42
91N. KadriC112050.790003614:44
20B. ColemanL011010.0533210014:32
88A. MangiapaneL101+120.54100—14:23
29D. DubeC011020.33012014:10
26M. StoneD123+230.10140—12:30
17M. LucicL000+130.14302—10:30
24B. RitchieR000+110.02202—10:20
21K. RooneyC011+110.086007109:47
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)29263.8972.95-0.0560:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).