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Islanders at Rangers
NHL

New York Islanders at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
New York Rangers
▸5
FinalTV MSGSN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New York Islanders 5-3. The Islanders scored first; the Rangers answered. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kaapo Kakko's goal at 17:13 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were NYI 18, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Julien Gauthier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kaapo Kakko (1 G), 3. Barclay Goodrow (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Gauthier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    K. Kakko1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    B. Goodrow1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI152805318
NYRNYR19113312534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(11)
    A. Romanov (9), N. Dobson (12)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:48
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(9)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (23), A. Fox (28)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:14

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(5)
    J. Bailey (8)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:39
  2. NYR
    J. Gauthier(5)
    B. Goodrow (9)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:30
  3. NYI
    A. Romanov(1)
    M. Barzal (28)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    8:45

3rd period

  1. NYR
    B. Goodrow(8)
    J. Gauthier (3), B. Harpur (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    3:00
  2. NYR
    K. Kakko(9)
    K. Miller (14), A. Lafrenière (12)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +42 pts
    3-4
    17:13
  3. NYR
    V. Trocheck(12)EN
    B. Goodrow (10), R. Lindgren (11)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    18:28

Penalties

NYI 12 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:26NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 3:58NYRJonny Brodzinski · Trippingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 14:16NYIScott Mayfield · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 15:32NYINoah Dobson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 13:38NYIAlexander Romanov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:44NYRserved by F. Chytil · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 8:08NYIAlexander Romanov · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 15:07NYIScott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Kaapo Kakko, 3rd 17:13 — NYR 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.53F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.28C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.20B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.17J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.14J. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.12V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.10J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.09V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.00B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.00C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
1.53 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.03 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI23%77%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
18
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
17
14
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25S. AhoD000-110.02010—22:56
24S. MayfieldD000000.00624—22:37
29B. NelsonC000-110.290102522:08
28A. RomanovD112+220.04324—21:42
6R. PulockD000-100.00020—21:23
8N. DobsonD011-110.26302—19:24
44J. PageauC000-120.312004818:56
12J. BaileyR011+100.0001010018:21
13M. BarzalC112020.170004017:52
11Z. PariseL000-110.072005017:42
18A. BeauvillierR000000.00010—16:16
27A. LeeL101040.1711210016:12
26O. WahlstromR000-120.13210—13:33
10S. HolmstromR000-100.00000—09:15
17M. MartinL000010.0651010008:32
20H. FaschingR000010.02000—07:38
2R. SaloD000-100.00110—07:37
53C. CizikasC000000.001001307:31
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)33294.8793.03-0.9758:43

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).