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Islanders at Rangers
NHL

New York Islanders at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
New York Rangers
3
FinalTV MSGSN2, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The Islanders came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 14:30 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYI 26, NYR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anders Lee (1 G), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1120638426
NYRNYR11421709340

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    K. Palmieri(5)PPG
    Z. Parise (2), R. Pulock (5)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:04
  2. NYR
    F. Chytil(3)
    K. Miller (4), A. Fox (9)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:36

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(5)PPG
    A. Panarin (13), V. Trocheck (6)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    0:22
  2. NYR
    V. Trocheck(5)PPG
    A. Panarin (14), M. Zibanejad (9)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    13:47

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Pelech(1)
    K. Palmieri (3), Z. Parise (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    0:14
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(6)PPG
    N. Dobson (6), M. Barzal (15)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    12:46
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(8)
    A. Romanov (4)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +39 pts
    4-3
    14:30

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:14NYRJimmy Vesey · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 19:53NYICasey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

2nd

  • 1:21NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 4:52NYRBarclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 7:53NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Interferencedrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 11:52NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

3rd

  • 11:42NYRFilip Chytil · Hookingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 14:30 — NYI 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.41V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.37M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.25C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.18J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.18A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
2.44 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.92 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI27%73%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 3.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
40
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28A. RomanovD011+100.12210—23:54
3A. PelechD101010.14240—23:19
24S. MayfieldD000000.00030—20:22
6R. PulockD011020.07320—19:58
8N. DobsonD011+140.23120—19:51
44J. PageauC000020.183105219:46
29B. NelsonC101030.270104419:44
12J. BaileyR000-110.01010—18:27
11Z. PariseL022+110.21110—17:32
13M. BarzalC011+110.021001816:51
21K. PalmieriC112+120.41000015:51
27A. LeeL101+120.48100—15:35
18A. BeauvillierR000-120.04102—14:48
53C. CizikasC000000.001046014:01
26O. WahlstromR000+120.14012—09:10
17M. MartinL000000.00000—08:37
41N. SoshnikovR000020.03200—08:17
25S. AhoD000010.04000—08:11
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)40373.9253.89+0.8959:22

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).