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Wild at Oilers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV BSWIX, BSNX·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kailer Yamamoto's goal at 12:54 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 5.4 to 4.3; shots on goal were MIN 44, EDM 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.5 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 3.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Stuart Skinner (42 saves, .955), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    S. Skinner42 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN110116018244
EDMEDM21511429538

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Ryan(4)
    D. Shore (3), K. Kostin (2)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:45
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(25)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (18), T. Barrie (14)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    8:59
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(10)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.24win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    11:24

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(9)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (17), J. Spurgeon (9)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    6:22
  2. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(1)
    D. Nurse (12), C. Ceci (4)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    12:54

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(19)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (19), C. McDavid (29)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    3:43
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(14)EN
    L. Draisaitl (27), Z. Hyman (19)
    snapxG 0.84
    2-5
    19:51

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:07MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Hookingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 14:29EDMKailer Yamamoto · Holdingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

2nd

  • 4:21EDMBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 4:45EDMMattias Janmark · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 19:55EDMLeon Draisaitl · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

3rd

  • 3:16MINMathew Dumba · Hookingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 10:29EDMBrett Kulak · Hookingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 14:43MINSam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMIN goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Kailer Yamamoto, 2nd 12:54 — EDM 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.84D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.37L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.35Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.25J. Hamblin · On goal · xG 0.21D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13J. Hamblin · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.07B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.05K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hamblin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 4.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsEDM
5.42 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
3.21 G
Power play
2 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN75%25%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.22 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsEDM
44
Shots on goal
38
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/5
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-200.00010—24:37
46J. SpurgeonD011-230.19220—22:55
36M. ZuccarelloR101-130.85210—22:17
14J. Eriksson EkC101-150.853124922:09
97K. KaprizovL011-161.20100—21:58
24M. DumbaD000-120.21002—19:30
12M. BoldyL000030.20100—19:12
33A. GoligoskiD000+120.04110—17:48
17M. FolignoL000-150.91200—16:44
13S. SteelC000030.160025015:09
18J. GreenwayL000-120.03120—15:09
4J. MerrillD000+100.00200—14:03
5J. MiddletonD000-100.00230—13:06
89F. GaudreauC000040.582006413:05
26C. DewarC000-110.023203311:32
19N. PetanC000+120.15100010:44
15M. ShawC000-130.0300010009:56
75R. ReavesR000-100.001005009:07
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)37334.8923.49-0.5157:40

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).