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Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

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Edmonton Oilers
3
Minnesota Wild
▸5
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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The Oilers scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 13:59 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 21, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Steel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    S. Steel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1416111321
MINMIN06313211530

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(16)PPG
    E. Bouchard (8), C. McDavid (24)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    11:17

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(7)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (15)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    1:51
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(19)
    L. Draisaitl (22), Z. Hyman (15)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:22
  3. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(14)PPG
    M. Boldy (8), J. Eriksson Ek (12)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    10:53
  4. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(4)
    N. Petan (2), J. Merrill (3)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    13:59

3rd period

  1. MIN
    S. Steel(5)
    M. Zuccarello (14), J. Merrill (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    3:13
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(8)
    M. Dumba (5), K. Kaprizov (16)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    11:48
  3. EDM
    K. Kostin(1)
    D. Shore (2), D. Ryan (2)
    wristxG 0.02
    3-5
    19:56

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:17MINMarcus Foligno · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 10:23MINJon Merrill · Interferencedrawn by Devin Shore2 min

2nd

  • 1:15EDMCody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 5:08EDMMattias Janmark · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 10:46EDMMattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

3rd

  • 6:54MINNic Petan · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 2nd 13:59 — MIN 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.29F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.20C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.16S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.16J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.14M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.13M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.10S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.08J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
1.93 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM35%65%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
21
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
17
14
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000020.03110—23:24
97C. McDavidC112020.491002921:12
5C. CeciD000-100.00322—21:04
2E. BouchardD011-200.05300—20:32
18Z. HymanL011+130.31100—20:29
29L. DraisaitlC112+120.310005520:05
22T. BarrieD000+110.02120—19:17
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-130.291006318:54
27B. KulakD000+110.03030—17:49
10D. RyanC011+100.002106016:28
13J. PuljujarviR000-110.04000—16:01
21K. KostinC101+110.11000014:31
26M. JanmarkC000-100.0310410014:20
14D. ShoreC011+110.070204413:55
86P. BrobergD000-120.01110—13:22
55D. HollowayL000-200.00200—09:00
57J. HamblinL000-220.12010—08:29
24B. MaloneC000-100.002103308:25
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)30255.8332.68-2.3260:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).