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Blues at Lightning
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV TNT, SN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 3:57 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 58% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 27, TBL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.7 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (3 A), 2. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Paul (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov3 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Paul1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1101908227
TBLTBL31311014527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(7)
    B. Hagel (9), N. Kucherov (19)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    0-1
    3:29
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(7)
    N. Paul (6), S. Stamkos (12)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    3:57
  3. TBL
    B. Point(8)PPG
    N. Kucherov (20), M. Sergachev (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    8:04
  4. STL
    P. Buchnevich(6)PPG
    R. Thomas (14), J. Kyrou (9)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    16:50

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(7)
    R. Thomas (15), P. Buchnevich (9)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    6:24
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(6)
    N. Kucherov (21), B. Point (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    6:42

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(9)EN
    A. Killorn (10), S. Stamkos (13)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:12

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·TBL 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:18TBLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev5 min
  • 2:18STLIvan Barbashev · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 5:30STLRobert Bortuzzo · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min
  • 5:30TBLCal Foote · Roughingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 6:54STLNiko Mikkola · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 16:15TBLVictor Hedman · Interferencedrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

2nd

  • 3:07TBLZach Bogosian · Cross checkingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 14:25STLNoel Acciari · Hookingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 18:55TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalSTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 1st 3:57 — TBL 58% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.90A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.20B. Point · Missed · xG 0.19A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.18R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.17A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.17P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.17V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.16V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.14B. Point · Goal · xG 0.13A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 4.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsTBL
2.22 G
All situations
4 G4.2
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL32%68%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsTBL
27
Shots on goal
27
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
29
Hits
36
10
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
8
16
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-120.09220—23:27
4N. LeddyD000010.03310—22:43
72J. FaulkD000-120.06000—20:47
47T. KrugD000-310.01200—20:08
10B. SchennC000-120.215006019:14
18R. ThomasC022000.001007718:52
89P. BuchnevichL112010.11200—18:36
90R. O'ReillyC000-320.131103917:32
49I. BarbashevL000010.01415—17:06
25J. KyrouR112070.88000—16:56
52N. AcciariC000-130.372025016:53
91V. TarasenkoR000-310.07000—16:39
77N. MikkolaD000000.00222—16:24
20B. SaadL000-210.17010—16:19
41R. BortuzzoD000020.04212—12:16
13A. ToropchenkoR000-110.01200—07:37
9T. PitlickC000000.00000006:52
59N. AlexandrovC000000.00110006:44
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)26224.8463.30-0.7059:45

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).