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Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV TNT, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 3:58 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.4 to 1.1; shots on goal were EDM 24, COL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Francouz (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Nazem Kadri (3 A), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Francouz24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Kadri3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0130605024
COLCOL014312114440

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:58
  2. COL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:13
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    6:02

3rd period

  1. COL
    slapxG 0.04
    0-4
    15:20

Penalties

EDM 16 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:47EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 11:33EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 12:02EDMBrett Kulak · Elbowingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 14:41COLNazem Kadri · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 18:45COLNicolas Aube-Kubel · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 7:24EDMserved by J. Puljujarvi · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:38COLBowen Byram · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 9:38EDMZack Kassian · Interferencedrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 14:27EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 18:57EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 19:14EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalEDM goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 2nd 3:58 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.11A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.10L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 3.4 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCOL
1.10 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.00 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM13%87%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.06 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCOL
24
Shots on goal
40
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
1/7
16
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
35
14
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000020.02020—23:12
97C. McDavidC000-120.043005622:43
25D. NurseD000-320.03312—20:33
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-100.061204020:24
5C. CeciD000-230.04120—20:24
18Z. HymanL000-130.14200—20:22
75E. BouchardD000-110.05310—19:31
29L. DraisaitlC000-130.090024119:30
91E. KaneL000-120.208045018:01
22T. BarrieD000030.07110—17:41
71R. McLeodC000000.000105716:07
27B. KulakD000010.01132—14:52
37W. FoegeleL000000.0111010011:07
10D. RyanC000-100.001006711:06
13J. PuljujarviR000010.14300—11:04
56K. YamamotoR000-110.16002—08:28
44Z. KassianR000-100.0020210006:43
15J. ArchibaldR000-100.0020010005:30
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)40364.9003.36-0.6460:00

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).