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Oilers at Avalanche
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
6
Colorado Avalanche
▸8
FinalTV TNT, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 8-6. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 7-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 4:38 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.3 to 3.3; shots on goal were EDM 37, COL 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (1 G, 2 A), 2. J.T. Compher (2 G), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Compher2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM28219210637
COLCOL316415116847

Scoring

14 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    E. Kane(13)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (8), K. Yamamoto (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:04
  2. COL
    J. Compher(3)
    A. Newhook (2), A. Burakovsky (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:40
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(9)
    D. Toews (5), C. Makar (11)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:10
  4. EDM
    Z. Hyman(9)
    B. Kulak (4), C. McDavid (20)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    19:37
  5. COL
    C. Makar(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    19:46

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(6)PPG
    G. Landeskog (6), M. Rantanen (11)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    0:32
  2. EDM
    R. McLeod(2)
    W. Foegele (1), D. Nurse (2)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    2:59
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(2)
    N. MacKinnon (6), A. Lehkonen (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    4:38
  4. COL
    J. Compher(4)
    C. Makar (12), D. Toews (6)
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    3-6
    6:20
  5. COL
    A. Cogliano(2)
    L. O'Connor (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    3-7
    16:20
  6. EDM
    C. McDavid(8)
    L. Draisaitl (20), E. Kane (4)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    4-7
    16:51

3rd period

  1. EDM
    D. Ryan(1)
    Z. Kassian (2), E. Bouchard (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    5-7
    3:28
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(5)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (21), C. McDavid (21)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    6-7
    12:36
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(7)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.69win prob +2 pts
    6-8
    19:38

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:46EDMserved by Z. Kassian · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 7:19EDMJosh Archibald · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 17:05COLArtturi Lehkonen · Hookingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

3rd

  • 11:19COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalEDM goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 4:38 — COL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.69N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.19N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.18N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.16J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.16M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.15L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.12D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.11A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.05E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.00J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00
COL8 G · 4.3 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCOL
3.36 G
All situations
7 G4.3
2.15 G
Even strength
6 G3.2
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM45%55%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCOL
37
Shots on goal
47
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
46
Hits
34
15
Blocked shots
21
6
Giveaways
6
10
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC123-120.245005624:15
29L. DraisaitlC022-140.462004323:21
22T. BarrieD000020.06100—22:04
91E. KaneL112-120.3951010021:46
18Z. HymanL101-150.82410—20:42
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112-230.292104020:34
25D. NurseD011-210.02210—20:05
27B. KulakD011+210.01400—19:05
5C. CeciD000-140.15240—18:30
2D. KeithD000-210.01020—18:01
75E. BouchardD011030.13020—17:45
56K. YamamotoR011-210.02110—16:51
71R. McLeodC101040.230103811:56
10D. RyanC101010.151108010:01
15J. ArchibaldR000000.0850210008:53
37W. FoegeleL011010.1060010008:47
44Z. KassianR011020.16400—08:38
13J. PuljujarviR000000.00200—07:33
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)21201.9521.59+0.5932:07
41M. Smith25196.7602.01-3.9926:20

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).