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Panthers at Canadiens
NHL

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSFL, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 10-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 8-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 4:18 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 39, MTL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 27 of 37 (.730), 6.3 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (3 G), 2. Mathieu Perreault (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Harris (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield3 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    M. Perreault1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Harris1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA110016113239
MTLMTL4114162101037

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:57
  2. MTL
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    4:18
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    4:30
  4. MTL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    12:23
  5. FLA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    18:23

2nd period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    1-5
    1:33
  2. MTL
    slapxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    1-6
    3:55
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.16
    1-7
    6:08
  4. MTL
    wristxG 0.15
    1-8
    13:21

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.18
    1-9
    8:12
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08
    1-10
    9:51
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.18
    2-10
    14:55

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·MTL 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:29FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 16:26MTLTyler Pitlick · Interferencedrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

2nd

  • 8:00FLAAnthony Duclair · Roughingdrawn by Chris Wideman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalFLA goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Hoffman, 1st 4:18 — MTL 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.25J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.24M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.22C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.18J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.16C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.15J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.14B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.09T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.08M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.08A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.08M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.08J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.04J. Harris · Goal · xG 0.04R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL10 G · 3.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMTL
2.62 G
All situations
10 G3.7
2.21 G
Even strength
9 G3.4
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA32%68%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMTL
39
Shots on goal
37
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
15
10
Blocked shots
22
24
Giveaways
24
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-140.13012—24:14
8B. ChiarotD112-180.40010—23:01
20A. HeponiemiC011-220.09000020:59
40P. LindbohmD000-130.03400—20:04
94R. LombergL011-310.00000—20:01
98M. MaminC000-410.12210019:53
27E. LuostarinenC011-310.140103819:29
32L. CarlssonD000-210.11120—19:14
55N. AcciariC101-240.551205218:58
79C. SchwindtR000-220.250104518:43
23C. VerhaegheC000-300.000006717:21
3M. KierstedD000-620.08200—16:29
18R. HaggD000-520.16310—15:34
19J. ThorntonC000-210.090003315:03
70P. HornqvistR000-260.33000—14:58
10A. DuclairL000-110.09002—12:05
15A. LundellC000000.00000000:00
42G. ForslingD000000.00000—00:00
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Johansson(L)372710.7303.71-6.2960:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).