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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

FinalTV BSFL, TSN2·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 7-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 1:19 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 6.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 24, FLA 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 39 of 45 (.867); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Lomberg (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    R. Lomberg2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1133506424
FLAFLA214219313746

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:32
  2. FLA
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:17
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:57

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:37
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.20win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    7:57
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    16:24
  4. MTL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    16:55
  5. MTL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +22 pts
    4-4
    18:06

3rd period

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +24 pts
    4-5
    1:19
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.19win prob +10 pts
    4-6
    14:43
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(29)EN
    backhandxG 0.94
    4-7
    17:26

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:33FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 3:33MTLAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 5:13MTLDavid Savard · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 15:06FLANoel Acciari · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 4:35MTLChris Wideman · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

3rd

  • 10:41FLAAleksander Barkov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Allen2 min
  • 10:50MTLChristian Dvorak · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 11:20MTLDavid Savard · Hookingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 3rd 1:19 — FLA 52% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.94A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.41E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.27G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.27J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.26C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.25S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.20R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.19N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.19M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.19A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.19A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.19A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.18G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.14S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.11M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.11G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.11M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.07M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA7 G · 6.5 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
2.74 G
All situations
6 G6.5
2.14 G
Even strength
5 G4.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.50 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL15%85%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 5.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
46
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
21
21
Blocked shots
7
5
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. RomanovD000-210.03222—25:56
58D. SavardD011010.10424—21:10
52J. BarronD011-210.00010—20:43
44J. EdmundsonD101-220.07730—20:20
14N. SuzukiC011-330.421104319:07
28C. DvorakC101010.180025019:04
17J. AndersonR000000.01210—18:17
32R. PitlickC011-130.4701010018:06
22C. CaufieldR000-230.2800010016:48
68M. HoffmanC000-220.03010016:47
64C. SchuenemanD000+100.00170—16:23
71J. EvansC000-220.411103813:45
41P. ByronL000-310.290102513:32
20C. WidemanD112+120.12002—13:32
40J. ArmiaR000-300.00000—11:46
45L. DauphinC112+120.270003810:03
56J. YlonenR011+100.00000—07:49
85M. PerreaultC011+200.00100007:34
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)45396.8675.58-0.4259:18

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).