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Penguins at Flyers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
FinalTV TNT, TVAS·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Cates's goal at 6:49 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals were close — PIT 2.8, PHI 2.7; shots on goal were PIT 38, PHI 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.7 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Cates (2 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Jones (37 saves, .974), 3. Morgan Frost (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    N. Cates2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Jones37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Frost1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT014013111138
PHIPHI115111217443

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost(5)
    O. Tippett (10), N. Cates (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:49

2nd period

  1. PHI
    N. Cates(4)
    K. Yandle (17), M. Frost (10)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:49

3rd period

  1. PHI
    N. Cates(5)PPG
    I. Provorov (20), K. Yandle (18)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    0-3
    9:38
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(31)
    J. Guentzel (43), E. Malkin (21)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    1-3
    16:27
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(16)EN
    K. Hayes (21), L. Hogberg (2)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:26

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:46PHIRonnie Attard · Hookingdrawn by Teddy Blueger2 min
  • 9:43PITMike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 14:56PHIIvan Provorov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:12PITJake Guentzel · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

3rd

  • 7:46PITJohn Marino · Hookingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Noah Cates, 2nd 6:49 — PHI 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.43O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.17N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.15N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.14O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.13B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.12B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.11N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.09J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.08M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.07N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.06Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hogberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
2.81 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT60%40%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
38
Shots on goal
43
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-130.11120—26:00
8B. DumoulinD000-120.01010—20:56
6J. MarinoD000030.12012—19:58
59J. GuentzelC011030.34002019:53
5M. MathesonD000-130.04112—19:31
17B. RustR000-120.55210—19:04
87S. CrosbyC101040.450103718:32
71E. MalkinC011-140.420207317:03
77J. CarterC000-120.120106316:12
2C. RuhwedelD000-100.02120—16:01
67R. RakellR000020.07100—15:01
53T. BluegerC000020.060103614:36
23B. McGinnL000000.00210—14:27
16J. ZuckerL000-120.13100—12:54
28M. PetterssonD000020.03110—12:52
9E. RodriguesC000-110.08210012:45
43D. HeinenL000-120.25000—11:03
11B. BoyleC000010.020005009:12
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(L)42393.9292.30-0.7058:08

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).