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Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, NBCSP·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Kris Letang scoring at 1:54. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 1:54 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.5, PIT 3.6; shots on goal were PHI 38, PIT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G), 3. Tristan Jarry (36 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry36 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI0171101902238
PITPIT1811601012336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:16

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    7:37
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:46

3rd period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.13win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    17:08

Overtime

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:54

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:40PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

2nd

  • 3:41PHIClaude Giroux · Holdingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
  • 6:20PITDanton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

3rd

  • 6:12PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Roughingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
  • 13:58PITBrock McGinn · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, OT 1:54 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.32J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.32K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.21D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.16J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.14P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.08B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.07M. Friedman · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.06D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.05D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 3.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
3.52 G
All situations
3 G3.6
3.01 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI50%50%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
38
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
39
14
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011-140.15010—23:53
6T. SanheimD000000.01000—23:38
70R. RistolainenD000-110.01530—22:10
14S. CouturierC000-120.210005322:04
11T. KonecnyR101-160.66000—20:45
61J. BraunD000-110.01200—19:58
28C. GirouxR011-220.011023819:42
21S. LaughtonC101+110.133204617:19
89C. AtkinsonR000-110.45010—16:41
86J. FarabeeL000-240.5311010015:53
3K. YandleD000010.02000—15:46
23O. LindblomL000+130.38010—15:32
25J. van RiemsdykL011+120.17100—14:56
19D. BrassardC000-130.370005013:16
24N. SeelerD000020.03430—12:28
44N. ThompsonC000010.131205009:23
17Z. MacEwenR000020.14000—09:17
62N. Aube-KubelR000020.10202—09:01
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(O)36333.9173.56+0.5661:54

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).