Capitals at Coyotes 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Washington Capitals

▸2

Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZX 2, NBCSWA·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Utah Mammoth 2-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Sheary's goal at 11:33 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 46% to 60%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were WSH 29, ARI 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vitek Vanecek (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Conor Sheary (1 G, 1 A), 3. Karel Vejmelka (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

★
V. Vanecek19 saves, 1.000
★★
C. Sheary1 G, 1 A
★★★
K. Vejmelka27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	112	08	19	229
ARI	06	05	08	019

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

C. Sheary(18)
N. Backstrom (25), J. Schultz (18)
wristxG 0.32win prob +14 pts
1-0
11:33

3rd period

J. Carlson(16)EN
N. Dowd (14), C. Sheary (23)
wristxG 0.46win prob +5 pts
2-0
19:24

Penalties

0 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

7:36Michael Carcone · Slashingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

2nd

0:08Kyle Capobianco · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

5:08Phil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
11:14Alex Galchenyuk · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: ARI

Biggest swing: Conor Sheary, 1st 11:33 — WSH 46% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.8 xG · 25 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 3.2 xG · 47 att ARI

0 G · 1.8 xG · 25 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.21 G
All situations: 0 G1.8; 2.11 G
Even strength: 0 G1.8; 0.60 G
Power play: 0 G0.0; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

68%32%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

29
Shots on goal: 19; 51%
Faceoffs: 49%; 0/4
Power play: 0/0; 0
Penalty minutes: 8; 15
Hits: 32; 9
Blocked shots: 12; 9
Giveaways: 18; 3
Takeaways: 10

Box score

every player line

Washington Capitals skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	FO%	TOI
74J. CarlsonD	1	0	1	+1	3	0.66	1	1	—	23:38
9D. OrlovD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.17	0	0	—	20:24
42M. FehérváryD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	3	—	20:04
77T. OshieR	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	3	0	—	19:38
39A. ManthaR	0	0	0	0	0	0.47	0	0	—	19:01
8A. OvechkinL	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	—	18:20
3N. JensenD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	—	18:20
43T. WilsonR	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	0	100	16:46
20L. EllerC	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	2	0	71	16:36
2J. SchultzD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	0	1	—	16:05
92E. KuznetsovC	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	36	15:51
57T. van RiemsdykD	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	1	—	15:46
19N. BackstromC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	0	0	33	14:29
90M. JohanssonL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	0	1	100	14:11
26N. DowdC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	0	58	13:39
21G. HathawayR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	1	—	13:05
73C. ShearyL	1	1	2	+2	2	0.35	0	0	—	12:36
22J. LarssonL	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	1	—	11:31

Washington Capitals goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
41V. Vanecek(W)	19	19	0	1.000	1.83	+1.83	60:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Oct 290@2Final
Apr 222@0this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score