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Utah Mammoth at Washington Capitals

FinalTV BSAZ, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Utah Mammoth 2-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 12:02 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 57% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.6 to 1.2; shots on goal were ARI 16, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Samsonov (16 saves, 1.000), 2. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Karel Vejmelka (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov16 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI040606016
WSHWSH0140929232

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.03win prob +28 pts
    0-1
    12:02
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.55win prob +5 pts
    0-2
    19:39

Penalties

ARI 12 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:25WSHLars Eller · Cross checkingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 5:52ARILawson Crouse · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 13:59ARIDmitrij Jaskin · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

2nd

  • 4:22ARIAndrew Ladd · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 8:28WSHAlex Ovechkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 12:46ARIClayton Keller · High stickingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 17:01ARIJohan Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

3rd

  • 11:21ARILiam O'Brien · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 12:42WSHGarnet Hathaway · Hookingdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalARI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: John Carlson, 3rd 12:02 — WSH 57% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.55A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.15A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.13L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.12N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.12D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.11C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.07L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.07B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.05D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsWSH
1.20 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.00 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI32%68%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.25 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsWSH
16
Shots on goal
32
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
8
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-110.02120—23:49
14S. GostisbehereD000-120.03110—20:59
61D. MayoD000010.12110—20:36
93D. JaskinR000-120.15312—19:41
86A. StralmanD000000.00100—19:00
22J. LarssonL000-100.001125618:24
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00210—17:02
9C. KellerR000-100.00002—16:57
77V. SoderstromD000020.05020—16:55
83J. BeagleC000010.091106716:01
16A. LaddL000010.05012—15:23
67L. CrouseL000020.22102—15:02
81P. KesselR000-110.10000—14:06
36C. FischerR000000.001102013:32
29B. HaytonC000000.182005013:21
21L. ErikssonL000020.14010—10:34
26A. RousselL000010.09200—10:16
38L. O'BrienC000000.00202008:40
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)31301.9682.09+1.0959:01

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).