Utah Mammoth at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Utah Mammoth 2-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 12:02 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 57% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.6 to 1.2; shots on goal were ARI 16, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Samsonov (16 saves, 1.000), 2. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Karel Vejmelka (30 saves, .968).
Three stars
- ★I. Samsonov16 saves, 1.000

- ★★J. Carlson1 G, 1 A

- ★★★K. Vejmelka30 saves, .968

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals3rd period
0-112:02
0-219:39
Penalties
1st
- 5:25
Lars Eller · Cross checkingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
- 5:52
Lawson Crouse · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 13:59
Dmitrij Jaskin · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
2nd
- 4:22
Andrew Ladd · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
- 8:28
Alex Ovechkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
- 12:46
Clayton Keller · High stickingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
- 17:01
Johan Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
3rd
- 11:21
Liam O'Brien · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
- 12:42
Garnet Hathaway · Hookingdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: John Carlson, 3rd 12:02 — 57% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.20 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.6
- 1.00 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.4
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.25 – 2.09
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 16
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 19
- Hits
- 16
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 5
- Giveaways
- 8
- 11
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
WSH leads 2-0
0@
2this game
2@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
