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Flyers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 8:07 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 39, TOR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack Campbell (37 saves, .949), 3. Travis Konecny (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Campbell37 saves, .949
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI015114110239
TORTOR0123829529

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:35
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:07
  3. TOR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    13:39
  4. TOR
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    19:35

3rd period

  1. TOR
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    10:11
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.02
    2-4
    17:24
  3. TOR
    wristxG 0.93
    2-5
    18:27

Penalties

PHI 15 PIM·TOR 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:37PHIKeith Yandle · Hookingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min
  • 13:01PHIZack MacEwen · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 15:05TORDavid Kampf · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

2nd

  • 12:49PHIIvan Provorov · Holdingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 15:39TORNick Abruzzese · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 15:52PHIKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

3rd

  • 2:18PHITravis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 5:26TORTJ Brodie · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 18:56TORIlya Lyubushkin · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 18:56PHIZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalPHI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 2nd 8:07 — PHI 29% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.93J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.22M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.08P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.07N. Abruzzese · On goal · xG 0.07N. Abruzzese · Missed · xG 0.07T. Liljegren · Goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · Goal · xG 0.06J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.05W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.05W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.01
TOR5 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsTOR
2.52 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI56%44%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsTOR
39
Shots on goal
29
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
58
Hits
33
13
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
20
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-260.15532—26:59
6T. SanheimD000060.20422—26:39
13K. HayesR000-350.272023819:23
11T. KonecnyR022-220.10200—18:57
54E. ZamulaD000-100.00220—18:23
47R. AttardD101+210.02200—17:26
86J. FarabeeL000000.002006715:54
21S. LaughtonC000-100.004006915:29
48M. FrostC000050.273102315:19
25J. van RiemsdykL101040.7820010014:54
49N. CatesL000-110.15310—14:26
74O. TippettR000010.10400—13:50
8K. ConnautonD000-110.02300—13:29
46B. BrinkR000-120.15800—13:12
3K. YandleD011-110.02122—13:04
44N. ThompsonC000020.223206412:58
23O. LindblomL000020.08400—10:56
17Z. MacEwenR000000.02407—10:24
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Jones(L)28244.8572.09-1.9159:28

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).