Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 11:11 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were TOR 33, PHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (2 G), 2. Jack Campbell (36 saves, 1.000), 3. Carter Hart (30 saves, .909).
Three stars
- ★W. Nylander2 G

- ★★J. Campbell36 saves, 1.000

- ★★★C. Hart30 saves, .909

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
1-011:11
3rd period
2-05:09
3-013:33
Penalties
1st
- 2:02
Scott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
- 12:17
Jason Spezza · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 17:30
David Kampf · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
2nd
- 8:08
Nick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
3rd
- 4:25
Ivan Provorov · Slashingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
- 9:10
Ondrej Kase · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
- 11:26
Claude Giroux · High stickingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: William Nylander, 2nd 11:11 — 47% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.53 G
- All situations
- 0 G1.8
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.4
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 1.74
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 22
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 6
- Giveaways
- 11
- 3
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
