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Maple Leafs at Flyers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 11:11 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were TOR 33, PHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (2 G), 2. Jack Campbell (36 saves, 1.000), 3. Carter Hart (30 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Campbell36 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Hart30 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR01217214333
PHIPHI011012013036

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    11:11

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    5:09
  2. TOR
    snapxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    3-0
    13:33

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:02PHIScott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 12:17TORJason Spezza · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 17:30TORDavid Kampf · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 8:08TORNick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

3rd

  • 4:25PHIIvan Provorov · Slashingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 9:10TOROndrej Kase · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 11:26PHIClaude Giroux · High stickingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTOR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, 2nd 11:11 — TOR 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.19C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.08J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.08C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI0 G · 1.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPHI
2.53 G
All situations
0 G1.8
1.62 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR64%36%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPHI
33
Shots on goal
36
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000020.04100—23:32
3J. HollD000+200.02140—20:18
78T. BrodieD000000.00120—19:44
8J. MuzzinD011+200.01010—19:38
34A. MatthewsC022+120.150105519:06
16M. MarnerR000010.06020—19:02
88W. NylanderR202+150.59000—17:45
38R. SandinD000000.00010—17:32
64D. KampfC011+120.052025015:20
37T. LiljegrenD000030.23110—14:42
19J. SpezzaC000010.040023314:32
47P. EngvallL000030.05200—14:01
58M. BuntingL000+110.09000—13:59
15A. KerfootC011+120.09120013:33
24W. SimmondsR000010.10300—12:48
20N. RitchieL011070.77122—12:32
25O. KaseR101+120.13002—12:29
94K. SemyonovC000010.04300011:40
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)363601.0001.75+1.7559:47

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).