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San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV NBCSCA, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 5-4 in overtime, Jared Spurgeon scoring at 1:05. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 1:05 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were SJS 30, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. James Reimer stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 3 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Frederick Gaudreau (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gaudreau3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS162151900430
MINMIN2111611011528

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala (42), M. Boldy (20)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:04
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:29
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:38

2nd period

  1. SJS
    N. Bonino (10), B. Burns (40)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:19
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.29win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    6:37
  3. SJS
    B. Burns (41), R. Balcers (11)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    11:11

3rd period

  1. SJS
    N. Bonino(12)SHG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    1:37
  2. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +30 pts
    4-4
    8:54

Overtime

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    1:05

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:12MINNick Bjugstad · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 3:53SJSScott Reedy · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 7:00SJSScott Reedy · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 12:37MINMats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 16:22SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 17:27MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holding the stickdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

3rd

  • 0:55SJSTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 14:23SJSTimo Meier · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSJS goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, OT 1:05 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.29F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.23K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.12K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · Goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsMIN
1.54 G
All situations
5 G2.5
1.03 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS31%69%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
16
18
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD022+210.03040—28:28
38M. FerraroD000+310.03100—25:28
48T. HertlC011-220.211104120:39
39L. CoutureC000+120.220303819:32
53N. MelocheD011-220.05510—19:11
28T. MeierR000-130.06634—18:49
83M. NietoL101010.07100—17:51
44M. VlasicD000+130.07012—17:12
13N. BoninoC112+230.0500010017:07
6R. MerkleyD000-300.00010—16:48
76J. DahlenC000-120.13010014:26
92R. BalcersL112010.16010—13:59
23T. BordeleauC011010.080004013:14
73N. GregorL112-130.22000—13:00
61S. HatakkaD000-210.01120—11:44
54S. ReedyC000030.11004009:40
55S. ChmelevskiC000-110.02200009:07
26J. WeatherbyC000000.000007507:00
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(O)28235.8212.52-2.4861:05

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).