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Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 7:04 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 69% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 27, SJS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Dahlen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Greenway (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    J. Dahlen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Greenway2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1102829527
SJSSJS0907219235

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    slapxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:22

2nd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    7:04
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    15:20

3rd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    3:29
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    3-2
    13:26
  3. MIN
    backhandxG 0.87win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:12
  4. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.90win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:44

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

2nd

  • 1:47MINJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 6:49SJSJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 13:33SJSJake Middleton · Holdingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

3rd

  • 0:34SJSJake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 9:02MINJordie Benn · Holding the stickdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
  • 13:17MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Barabanov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 2nd 7:04 — MIN 69% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.20A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.15L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.13J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.10N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.09J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.08K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.08K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dahlen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dahlen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dahlen · Goal · xG 0.05J. Weatherby · On goal · xG 0.05M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.02L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN37%63%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
27
Shots on goal
35
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
31
10
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
8
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000+220.03212—21:16
4J. MerrillD011+120.07022—20:07
29D. KulikovD000-100.00010—20:05
46J. SpurgeonD000+210.03000—19:32
47A. GoligoskiD011+120.07110—19:14
38R. HartmanR011+210.192001017:56
8J. BennD000-110.05012—17:43
18J. GreenwayL202+120.96010—17:16
97K. KaprizovL112+131.13020—17:03
22K. FialaL112+120.29000—16:39
14J. Eriksson EkC112+140.232105715:35
36M. ZuccarelloR011+110.0200010015:31
17M. FolignoL000000.00500—15:00
7N. SturmC000-100.062005014:18
21B. DuhaimeL011+120.06300—13:46
49V. RaskC000+100.180003313:31
27N. BjugstadC000-120.231006711:10
58M. ShawC000-120.15100010:38
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)35332.9432.69+0.6959:31

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).