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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
Carolina Hurricanes
0
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Moritz Seider's goal at 19:47 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 50% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were DET 22, CAR 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 46 of 46 (1.000), 5.3 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (46 saves, 1.000), 2. Moritz Seider (1 G), 3. Dylan Larkin (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Nedeljkovic46 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Seider1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0411028322
CARCAR011018017046

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Seider(6)
    D. Larkin (38), T. Bertuzzi (29)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    1-0
    19:47

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Erne(6)
    M. Stephens (6)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    3:01
  2. DET
    F. Zadina(10)
    F. Hronek (32)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    3-0
    13:33

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:24DETJakub Vrana · Trippingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 7:04DETFilip Hronek · Roughingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 7:04CARMartin Necas · Roughingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 17:47CARBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 4:37DETMarc Staal · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 10:07DETDanny DeKeyser · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Moritz Seider, 2nd 19:47 — DET 50% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.36S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.35T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.33S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.24M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.19S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.19A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.17M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.15J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.13M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.13E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.11M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR0 G · 5.2 xG · 74 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
2.13 G
All situations
0 G5.2
1.93 G
Even strength
0 G4.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET11%89%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 5.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
46
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
12
11
Blocked shots
7
6
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD101+240.24110—22:50
17F. HronekD011+130.35212—22:08
18M. StaalD000+110.00102—21:30
65D. DeKeyserD000+100.00112—20:33
71D. LarkinC011+240.231003319:46
59T. BertuzziL011+100.18110—18:32
23L. RaymondL000+120.25000—17:07
8J. WalmanD000000.00330—16:01
28G. LindstromD000000.00000—15:18
89S. GagnerC000+100.001002515:05
70O. SundqvistC000+100.00010014:43
27M. RasmussenC000000.0830010014:22
11F. ZadinaR101+110.11020—13:49
24P. SuterC000000.000004013:01
90J. VelenoC000010.065105812:54
73A. ErneL101+220.22200—12:17
22M. StephensC011+120.041003811:36
15J. VranaL000020.31002—10:26
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)464601.0005.25+5.2560:00

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).