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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV BSDET, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 0:18 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.3 to 3.3; shots on goal were DET 26, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Jack Drury (1 G), 2. Nino Niederreiter (2 G), 3. Jesper Fast (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Drury1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Fast2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET2131904326
CARCAR3170828533

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(7)PPG
    J. Fast (3), A. Poturalski (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:05
  2. DET
    S. Gagner(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    5:32
  3. CAR
    T. DeAngelo(5)
    J. Fast (4), J. Kotkaniemi (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    7:36
  4. DET
    D. Larkin(12)
    L. Raymond (16)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    13:54
  5. CAR
    J. Drury(1)
    J. Kotkaniemi (5), T. Teravainen (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    18:40

2nd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(10)
    D. Larkin (13), L. Raymond (17)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    11:19

3rd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(8)
    M. Necas (9), B. Pesce (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    3-4
    0:18
  2. CAR
    V. Trocheck(7)EN
    T. Teravainen (16), M. Necas (10)
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:55

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:12DETTyler Bertuzzi · Hookingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 3:21CAREthan Bear · Hookingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

2nd

  • 5:02CARJack Drury · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 15:08CARMartin Necas · Interferencedrawn by Gustav Lindstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 3rd 0:18 — CAR 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.91N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.46M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.20B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.19N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.14J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.13J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.12J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Poturalski · On goal · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.10S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drury · Goal · xG 0.10J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.09D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.09T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.08A. Poturalski · On goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.04J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 4.3 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
3.33 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET57%43%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
33
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
12
12
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71D. LarkinC112-120.313003822:30
59T. BertuzziL101041.04002—22:24
17F. HronekD000-220.05100—22:12
53M. SeiderD000-220.10110—20:15
23L. RaymondL022000.19130—19:46
2N. LeddyD000+110.03010—19:06
11F. ZadinaR000-210.21200—17:15
24P. SuterC000010.040004217:03
92V. NamestnikovC000000.11000016:10
89S. GagnerC101050.411006715:58
65D. DeKeyserD000-210.06010—15:47
73A. ErneL000-220.15110—15:38
82J. OesterleD000020.25010—15:04
28G. LindstromD000+200.00120—14:13
37C. RowneyC000+120.301004013:27
48G. SmithR000+100.05210—11:47
90J. VelenoC000-110.061105610:47
18M. StaalD000+100.00000—10:18
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)32284.8752.90-1.1058:27

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).