Skip to content

Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSWIX, BSNX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 3:01 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 70% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 28, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.3 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (2 G), 2. Ryan Hartman (2 G), 3. Jonas Brodin.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0801119128
MINMIN1931014523

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:37

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy (17), D. Kulikov (17)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:01
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    9:40
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.17win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    13:12

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.25
    0-5
    3:22
  2. EDM
    T. Barrie (30), Z. Hyman (25)
    wristxG 0.05
    1-5
    5:39

Penalties

EDM 18 PIM·MIN 18 PIM

1st

  • 8:34EDMserved by W. Foegele · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 13:35EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 17:49MINMatt Boldy · Holding the stickdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

3rd

  • 4:50MINBrandon Duhaime · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 9:15EDMEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 9:15EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 9:15MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 9:15EDMEvander Kane · Misconductdrawn by Ryan Hartman10 min
  • 9:15MINRyan Hartman · Misconductdrawn by Evander Kane10 min
  • 12:06MINJake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 2nd 3:01 — MIN 70% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.28R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.25K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.17M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.16K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.14K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 2.7 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
1.81 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.00 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM33%67%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
23
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
18
9
Hits
12
9
Blocked shots
21
9
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000020.04000—22:59
97C. McDavidC000050.371004522:20
5C. CeciD000-100.00110—20:36
22T. BarrieD011-110.06020—20:36
75E. BouchardD000-340.12020—19:27
29L. DraisaitlC101-220.351005318:15
18Z. HymanL011-200.00000—17:11
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-320.210004516:48
2D. KeithD000-400.00010—16:47
91E. KaneL000030.111014—16:19
13J. PuljujarviR000-210.02100—15:34
27B. KulakD000-120.02210—15:25
44Z. KassianR000020.28100—14:17
56K. YamamotoR000010.12112—14:09
71R. McLeodC000020.090003612:59
10D. RyanC000-310.010107010:51
16D. BrassardC000000.00000010:28
37W. FoegeleL000-300.00000—09:35
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)23185.7832.70-2.3059:24

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).