Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 7-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 5:21 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 61% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 22, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Mikko Koskinen stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★K. Fiala2 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Boldy1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
1-02:49
2-05:21
3-06:17
4-013:38
4-116:32
2nd period
5-18:28
6-114:21
6-215:58
3rd period
7-25:36
7-318:54
Penalties
1st
- 4:36
Kailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
- 14:54
Nick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
2nd
- 11:36
Dmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
3rd
- 9:48
Cody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
- 16:53
Leon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Calen Addison2 min
- 16:53
Kailer Yamamoto · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 1st 5:21 — 61% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.57 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 2.36 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.7
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.24
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 38%
- Faceoffs
- 62%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 16
- 19
- Hits
- 22
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 11
- Giveaways
- 21
- 6
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
