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Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 7-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 5:21 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 61% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 22, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Mikko Koskinen stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN4112615722
EDMEDM11311416333

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:49
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    5:21
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    6:17
  4. MIN
    snapxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    4-0
    13:38
  5. EDM
    E. Kane(5)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    16:32

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    5-1
    8:28
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    14:21
  3. EDM
    slapxG 0.24win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    15:58

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.15
    7-2
    5:36
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.32
    7-3
    18:54

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·EDM 16 PIM

1st

  • 4:36EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 14:54MINNick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

2nd

  • 11:36MINDmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

3rd

  • 9:48EDMCody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 16:53EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Calen Addison2 min
  • 16:53EDMKailer Yamamoto · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMIN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 1st 5:21 — MIN 61% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.32T. Benson · Goal · xG 0.24L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.18R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsEDM
2.57 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.36 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN36%64%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsEDM
22
Shots on goal
33
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
16
19
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD000+120.10220—24:43
25J. BrodinD011+210.01140—22:33
29D. KulikovD011+300.03002—20:38
47A. GoligoskiD000+200.00100—20:25
97K. KaprizovL011030.53000—18:06
36M. ZuccarelloR112020.50200—17:42
14J. Eriksson EkC101030.242003317:30
17M. FolignoL000-100.00220—17:07
38R. HartmanR011-100.001103816:07
22K. FialaL213+240.49000—16:06
12M. BoldyL112+210.13000—15:05
59C. AddisonD000000.00000—14:08
18J. GreenwayL000-110.00200—14:03
4J. MerrillD000+100.00020—14:02
89F. GaudreauC011+220.110003613:51
52C. DewarC101+320.083003312:45
27N. BjugstadC022+300.172027511:16
21B. DuhaimeL101+210.07100—10:15
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)33303.9093.28+0.2860:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).