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Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils

Final/OTTV NHLN, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 7-6 in overtime, Gustav Forsling scoring at 1:45. The Panthers came back from 4 goals down. The Devils led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Forsling's goal at 1:45 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were FLA 41, NJD 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 4.1 goals below expected; Andrew Hammond stopped 34 of 41 (.829), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yegor Sharangovich (3 G), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 G), 3. Gustav Forsling (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    Y. Sharangovich3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    G. Forsling2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA1511142312741
NJDNJD2124130501631

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:25
  2. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    3:42
  3. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:02

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:00
  2. NJD
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    2:45
  3. FLA
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    11:17
  4. NJD
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    2-5
    14:44
  5. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    2-6
    16:08

3rd period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    5:34
  2. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    4-6
    7:03
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    5-6
    15:23
  4. FLA
    snapxG 0.03win prob +42 pts
    6-6
    18:36

Overtime

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +51 pts
    7-6
    1:45

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:01FLAMason Marchment · Hookingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min

2nd

  • 9:03FLARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 13:26NJDDougie Hamilton · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 20:00NJDDawson Mercer · Trippingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min

3rd

  • 3:28NJDAndreas Johnsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalFLA goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Gustav Forsling, OT 1:45 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.26J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.19Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.16N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.12A. Johnsson · Goal · xG 0.12T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kuokkanen · Goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD6 G · 2.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNJD
3.47 G
All situations
6 G2.1
2.77 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA69%31%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.23 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNJD
41
Shots on goal
31
66%
Faceoffs
34%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD011+220.17110—25:53
42G. ForslingD202060.35020—22:39
16A. BarkovC202+250.310207222:27
11J. HuberdeauL022020.22100—20:57
8B. ChiarotD101-120.11510—19:24
9S. BennettC022+420.052005619:12
62B. MontourD112+130.18100—19:05
13S. ReinhartC000+451.0710010018:22
28C. GirouxR000+120.131009217:25
7R. GudasD101030.08322—16:23
17M. MarchmentL011+140.28102—15:59
10A. DuclairL011010.19100—15:34
23C. VerhaegheC000000.11100014:58
15A. LundellC000010.080003813:39
94R. LombergL000-220.09400—13:01
18R. HaggD000-110.02400—10:27
27E. LuostarinenC000-300.000104308:58
98M. MaminC000-300.00100007:59
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky25196.7601.88-4.1240:00
30S. Knight(W)6601.0000.26+0.2620:38

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).