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New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers

FinalTV MSG+, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Devils scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 3:08 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were NJD 46, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 45 of 46 (.978), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Spencer Knight (45 saves, .978), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Duclair (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Knight45 saves, .978
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Duclair1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD122010014146
FLAFLA11332008441

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:37
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:53

2nd period

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:08
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:25
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.36win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    8:15

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:50FLAserved by F. Vatrano · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 4:25NJDserved by A. Johnsson · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:39FLASam Bennett · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 18:03NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

3rd

  • 17:55FLARadko Gudas · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 17:55FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 17:55NJDAndreas Johnsson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNJD goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 2nd 3:08 — FLA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.36S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.18C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA4 G · 3.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsFLA
3.01 G
All situations
4 G3.6
2.11 G
Even strength
4 G3.5
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD40%60%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsFLA
46
Shots on goal
41
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
35
16
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD101-140.24222—21:39
28D. SeversonD000-140.26110—21:09
24T. SmithD000-120.11200—21:07
13N. HischierC000-220.280106419:10
33R. GravesD000-120.04220—18:33
71J. SiegenthalerD000-100.00240—18:05
63J. BrattL000-140.33000—18:02
18D. MercerC000-130.261002917:52
37P. ZachaC000-260.3920010016:58
17Y. SharangovichC000-120.11000016:12
11A. JohnssonL000-120.0700210015:58
76P. SubbanD011-140.24320—15:58
90T. TatarL000-260.30010—15:01
20M. McLeodC000+100.002205014:08
59J. KuokkanenC000-110.11310013:53
16J. VeseyL011+100.00200—13:11
70J. BoqvistC000-110.020006011:28
49F. ZetterlundL000+130.2020010009:33
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier141401.0000.95+0.9529:48
29M. Blackwood(L)27234.8522.67-1.3328:15

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).