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Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV BSWIX, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2 in overtime, Joel Eriksson Ek scoring at 0:31. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 0:31 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were VAN 28, MIN 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.7 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 G), 3. Cam Talbot (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Talbot26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN1100101800228
MINMIN1811301411336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    4:13
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:08

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:44

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(27)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    7:56

Overtime

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.27win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:31

Penalties

VAN 11 PIM·MIN 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:47VANLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 0:47MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 19:26MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 19:26VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

2nd

  • 10:36VANBrad Richardson · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 16:24MINMats Zuccarello · Slashingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

3rd

  • 4:48MINJordan Greenway · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:50MINMats Zuccarello · High stickingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 9:24VANBo Horvat · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVAN goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, OT 0:31 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.26K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.26R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.13F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.11K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.10K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsMIN
1.42 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN33%67%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
36
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
22
Hits
31
11
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-200.00010—27:39
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011020.05012—24:50
40E. PetterssonC011010.02100023:07
57T. MyersD000030.08120—22:17
53B. HorvatC101+110.151225621:57
9J. MillerC101-240.222106721:47
6B. BoeserR011+150.23100—19:49
2L. SchennD000-120.02615—17:59
70T. PearsonL000-100.062005017:08
8C. GarlandR000-130.15100—16:21
77B. HuntD000010.00000—12:52
24T. DermottD000010.02110—12:40
91J. LammikkoC000-100.060005010:43
92V. PodkolzinR000030.1610010010:14
39A. ChiassonR000010.0310010010:03
7N. PetanC000010.181004009:40
15M. HighmoreC000-100.00010008:53
13B. RichardsonR000-100.003126007:37
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(O)36333.9172.26-0.7460:28

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).