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Blues at Capitals
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Washington Capitals
2
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSMW·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Capitals scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan Walker's goal at 10:31 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were STL 38, WSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Vitek Vanecek stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Saad (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 2 A), 3. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Saad1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL215210113538
WSHWSH2130404221

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(22)PPG
    J. Carlson (42), T. Wilson (25)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    8:22
  2. STL
    B. Saad(19)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:48
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(19)
    A. Mantha (6)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:01
  4. STL
    R. O'Reilly(14)PPG
    B. Saad (17), D. Perron (20)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    17:15

2nd period

  1. STL
    N. Walker(5)
    B. Schenn (23), C. Parayko (19)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    10:31
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(18)
    J. Kyrou (39), P. Buchnevich (29)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    17:13

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(22)EN
    B. Schenn (24)
    wristxG 0.51
    5-2
    19:31

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·WSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:10STLRobert Bortuzzo · Cross checkingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 16:37WSHMichal Kempny · Interferencedrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

2nd

  • 1:05STLAlexey Toropchenko · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 1:05STLRobert Bortuzzo · Cross checkingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 1:05WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 8:00WSHMichal Kempny · Trippingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 12:31WSHAnthony Mantha · Holding the stickdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 17:44STLJustin Faulk · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 17:44WSHAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

3rd

  • 10:52WSHTom Wilson · Cross checkingdrawn by Logan Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSTL goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan Walker, 2nd 10:31 — STL 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.20A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.13A. Jonsson-Fjallby · Missed · xG 0.12J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWSH
4.14 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL71%29%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWSH
38
Shots on goal
21
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
4
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011+230.18110—24:46
72J. FaulkD000+230.07142—22:45
89P. BuchnevichL011+120.58000—22:34
25J. KyrouR011+160.36000—22:06
10B. SchennC123+350.473104020:56
4N. LeddyD000020.09000—20:50
90R. O'ReillyC101+130.741007520:04
20B. SaadL112+220.38010—18:38
49I. BarbashevL000000.001003318:10
57D. PerronL112+250.95400—17:49
6M. ScandellaD000+320.05200—17:14
26N. WalkerL101010.11100—13:01
65A. ToropchenkoR000+110.03522—11:47
47T. KrugD000+110.04000—11:12
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.00124—10:30
77N. MikkolaD000-100.00210—09:19
28M. MacEachernL000-110.03000—07:29
22L. BrownC000-110.061005006:48
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)21192.9051.83-0.1759:50

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).