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Capitals at Blues
NHL

Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Capitals scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 9:08 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 27, STL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.6 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ville Husso (26 saves, .963), 3. Torey Krug (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Husso26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    STL
    T. Krug1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1100908127
STLSTL1103618524

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    D. Sprong(6)
    A. Protas (5), T. van Riemsdyk (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:02
  2. STL
    T. Krug(6)
    R. Thomas (23), J. Kyrou (21)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:10

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(12)
    M. Scandella (7), R. O'Reilly (15)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:08
  2. STL
    O. Sundqvist(2)
    J. Faulk (9), B. Saad (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    17:20
  3. STL
    I. Barbashev(13)
    P. Buchnevich (20), R. O'Reilly (16)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    19:59

3rd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(13)EN
    R. Thomas (24)
    wristxG 0.54
    1-5
    16:08

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:32STLIvan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

2nd

  • 3:26WSHCarl Hagelin · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 2:40STLRobert Bortuzzo · Roughingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
  • 8:55WSHNick Jensen · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 14:57STLNiko Mikkola · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWSH goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, 2nd 9:08 — STL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.54J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.29J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.14O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.09B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.05T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04L. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01
STL5 G · 3.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsSTL
2.01 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.81 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH36%64%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
24
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
19
8
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-230.08110—22:48
8A. OvechkinL000-330.23100—20:55
9D. OrlovD000-120.04000—19:49
57T. van RiemsdykD011-120.14010—19:46
42M. FehérváryD000-100.00010—19:38
73C. ShearyL000-320.18000—18:35
10D. SprongR101030.28000—18:24
92E. KuznetsovC000-230.280002717:37
3N. JensenD000-210.08012—17:19
43T. WilsonR000-400.09200—16:49
20L. EllerC000-310.060005316:42
2J. SchultzD000020.11010—15:59
26N. DowdC000-110.081006413:29
59A. ProtasL011+100.001003313:24
21G. HathawayR000010.0942010012:35
49B. LeasonR000030.17000—11:31
62C. HagelinL000000.00002—11:11
23M. SgarbossaC000+100.081108310:23
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)16124.7501.38-2.6240:00
60Z. Fucale7701.0001.44+1.4419:06

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).