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Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, SN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kailer Yamamoto's goal at 15:10 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were EDM 32, PHI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 39 of 39 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Koskinen (39 saves, 1.000), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen39 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM110111111332
PHIPHI013012014039

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse (16), C. McDavid (48)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    17:41

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    15:10

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 pts
    3-0
    18:20

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:31PHIScott Laughton · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 13:00EDMKailer Yamamoto · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 14:09EDMMikko Koskinen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:21PHIOskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

2nd

  • 2:42PHIOskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Markus Niemelainen2 min
  • 8:04PHITravis Konecny · Trippingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 18:20PHIRasmus Ristolainen · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalEDM goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Kailer Yamamoto, 2nd 15:10 — EDM 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.19P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.19G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.17C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.15R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.14C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.12C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.09R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.08C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI0 G · 2.7 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsPHI
3.52 G
All situations
0 G2.7
1.91 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM47%53%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
39
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
27
15
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
18Z. HymanL011+150.59120—24:56
25D. NurseD011010.03000—24:46
97C. McDavidC112+171.571104723:53
29L. DraisaitlC112+250.300003823:30
91E. KaneL011+100.00500—22:31
5C. CeciD000+100.01120—18:26
22T. BarrieD000010.04000—18:08
56K. YamamotoR101+120.26222—17:32
37W. FoegeleL000020.21100—16:54
2D. KeithD000+210.05010—15:56
71R. McLeodC000010.140004515:17
75E. BouchardD000+130.07040—14:21
10D. RyanC000020.261006713:25
84W. LagessonD000010.00000—13:10
24B. MaloneC000000.0030010009:22
80M. NiemelainenD000010.02220—08:44
16T. BensonL000000.00100—08:31
14D. ShoreC000000.00110006:38
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)393901.0002.74+2.7460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).