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Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV TNT, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 4:18 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.9 to 3.2; shots on goal were PHI 34, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Mikko Koskinen stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (2 G), 2. Tyson Barrie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carter Hart (34 saves, .919).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Atkinson2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    T. Barrie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Hart34 saves, .919

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI31206216534
EDMEDM213112012337

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wrap-aroundxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:22
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    10:05
  3. EDM
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    10:40
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    19:42
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    19:59

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    0:54

3rd period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    4:18
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.44win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:01

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:01PHIRasmus Ristolainen · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 2:56EDMZach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 10:51PHICam Atkinson · Trippingdrawn by Duncan Keith2 min
  • 18:40PHIZack MacEwen · Boardingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min

3rd

  • 5:19EDMSlater Koekkoek · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 13:48PHITravis Konecny · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalPHI goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 3rd 4:18 — PHI 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.28R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.21W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.14J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.14K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.07T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.02B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsEDM
3.94 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.54 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI46%54%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
37
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
21
26
Blocked shots
7
14
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+310.02130—25:16
61J. BraunD022+410.01330—23:42
6T. SanheimD011020.10030—22:38
14S. CouturierC112+120.441206719:44
70R. RistolainenD000000.00642—19:29
86J. FarabeeL000+110.14120—18:09
89C. AtkinsonR202+140.42102—16:26
44N. ThompsonC101+110.260003816:10
25J. van RiemsdykL000020.06000—15:15
11T. KonecnyR011+120.83212—15:14
23O. LindblomL000030.43110—14:57
28C. GirouxR112+120.330006414:41
3K. YandleD000030.09020—14:27
21S. LaughtonC000070.552104313:49
24N. SeelerD000-100.01120—12:38
19D. BrassardC011+120.135006412:33
62N. Aube-KubelR011+100.00110—09:55
17Z. MacEwenR000+110.11212—07:55
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)37343.9193.24+0.2460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).