Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 4:18 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.9 to 3.2; shots on goal were PHI 34, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Mikko Koskinen stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (2 G), 2. Tyson Barrie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carter Hart (34 saves, .919).
Three stars
- ★C. Atkinson2 G

- ★★T. Barrie1 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. Hart34 saves, .919

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-07:22
2-010:05
2-110:40
2-219:42
3-219:59
2nd period
3-30:54
3rd period
4-34:18
5-319:01
Penalties
1st
- 1:01
Rasmus Ristolainen · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
- 2:56
Zach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
- 10:51
Cam Atkinson · Trippingdrawn by Duncan Keith2 min
- 18:40
Zack MacEwen · Boardingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
3rd
- 5:19
Slater Koekkoek · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
- 13:48
Travis Konecny · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 3rd 4:18 — 48% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.94 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.2
- 2.54 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.2
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 27
- Hits
- 21
- 26
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 14
- Giveaways
- 19
- 6
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
5@
3this game
3@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
