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Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brian Boyle's goal at 6:58 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 35, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jon Gillies stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Brian Boyle (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mike Matheson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jon Gillies (31 saves, .912).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Boyle1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    M. Matheson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Gillies31 saves, .912

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT08112315435
NJDNJD0819113230

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    7:02
  2. PIT
    slapxG 0.05win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:16

3rd period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang (38), S. Crosby (30)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    0:36
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    2:51
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    6:58
  4. PIT
    B. Rust (20), S. Crosby (31)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:53

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

2nd

  • 2:19NJDColton White · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 13:50PITChad Ruhwedel · Hookingdrawn by Marián Studenic2 min
  • 18:30NJDserved by T. Tatar · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:55NJDNathan Bastian · Trippingdrawn by Tristan Jarry2 min
  • 11:38PITBrian Dumoulin · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPIT goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Brian Boyle, 3rd 6:58 — PIT 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.21Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.20N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.20J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.16N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.14J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.13M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.12J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.11J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.11N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.07J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.06M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.05J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.05T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.04T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNJD
3.93 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT53%47%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNJD
35
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+140.25100—26:12
87S. CrosbyC022+240.321006521:08
59J. GuentzelC101+231.33100020:36
6J. MarinoD000010.05110—19:41
8B. DumoulinD000+100.00022—18:43
28M. PetterssonD000000.00310—18:38
17B. RustR112+220.31010—17:59
77J. CarterC000030.211105617:43
5M. MathesonD112+140.21100—16:58
71E. MalkinC000-110.010002916:47
9E. RodriguesC000030.13000016:42
42K. KapanenR000-110.20200—14:15
43D. HeinenL000030.29000—14:13
23B. McGinnL000-110.04000—13:43
2C. RuhwedelD011+100.03432—13:12
12Z. Aston-ReeseL011+110.22210—10:48
11B. BoyleC112+120.292006010:42
49D. SimonC000+120.04100008:02
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)30282.9332.89+0.8960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).