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Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 1:03 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were PIT 22, NJD 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Jon Gillies stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Teddy Blueger (1 G), 2. Mike Matheson (1 G), 3. Dougie Hamilton (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    T. Blueger1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    M. Matheson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Hamilton1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT141919322
NJDNJD061617219

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:19

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:03
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:20

3rd period

  1. PIT
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    9:31
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    3-2
    11:12

Penalties

PIT 14 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:02PITDominik Simon · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 8:31PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Marián Studenic2 min

2nd

  • 7:01PITSam Lafferty · Butt ending double minordrawn by Mason Geertsen4 min
  • 7:01NJDMason Geertsen · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tristan Jarry2 min
  • 10:15NJDJimmy Vesey · Cross checkingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 13:53NJDMichael McLeod · High stickingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 14:16PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min

3rd

  • 4:41NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 4:41PITJason Zucker · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 10:35PITMike Matheson · Cross checkingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPIT goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 2nd 1:03 — PIT 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.22N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.19M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.19D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.14D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.13N. Bastian · Goal · xG 0.11A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kuokkanen · Goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.10D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.09A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.07D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.00J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.2 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNJD
1.83 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT42%58%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNJD
22
Shots on goal
19
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/5
14
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
17
18
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
5
14
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000010.02022—26:47
8B. DumoulinD000+100.00230—24:06
6J. MarinoD000+200.01000—22:26
9E. RodriguesC000010.050207521:12
87S. CrosbyC000000.110024120:56
77J. CarterC000+130.150306219:32
28M. PetterssonD011+120.04010—18:44
23B. McGinnL000+120.27020—16:50
42K. KapanenR000000.06000—16:29
53T. BluegerC101+170.590005015:51
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.02310—14:51
5M. MathesonD101030.07212—14:03
43D. HeinenL101+110.06010—12:58
16J. ZuckerL011+100.00002—12:57
2C. RuhwedelD011000.00220—12:01
10D. O'ConnorL000010.14000—06:57
49D. SimonC011000.00002006:50
18S. LaffertyC000010.24404005:35
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)19172.8952.24+0.2460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).