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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 19:19 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were CHI 16, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.9 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G), 2. Oskar Sundqvist (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ville Husso (15 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Husso15 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI051902116
STLSTL2919213531

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(9)PPG
    J. Faulk (14), B. Schenn (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    8:19
  2. STL
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:31

2nd period

  1. CHI
    D. Strome(9)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:37
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:19

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:11
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.11
    1-5
    15:38

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:11CHIConnor Murphy · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

2nd

  • 1:45STLNiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 2:24STLPavel Buchnevich · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 6:09STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:39CHIBrandon Hagel · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 4:48CHICalvin de Haan · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 2nd 19:19 — STL 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.24J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.22J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.22V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.12D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.11D. Joshua · Goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.11O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.10D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.09B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.07T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.07N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
1.71 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI25%75%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
16
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
25
21
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
8
11
Takeaways
20

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000010.15260—28:36
5C. MurphyD000-220.09522—21:10
38B. HagelL000000.00102—19:56
77K. DachC000010.201003018:50
12A. DeBrincatR000010.23010—18:28
6J. McCabeD000-400.01120—17:40
44C. de HaanD000-110.04052—17:01
82C. JonesD000000.00110—16:32
88P. KaneR011-230.13000—16:21
76J. GalvasD000-100.00010—16:09
24S. LaffertyC000-210.180103315:05
17D. StromeC101-130.220006015:02
8D. KubalikL011-110.05000—14:41
36J. SlavinL000000.040006013:27
13H. BorgstromC000000.00000013:06
22R. CarpenterC000-300.062008012:23
23P. KurashevC000-210.072005011:09
58M. EntwistleR000-110.18220—09:16
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)31265.8393.12-1.8860:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).