Skip to content

St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 1:27. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 1:27 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 1.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were STL 25, CHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    B. Hagel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL216060201225
CHICHI0101611011327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou (13), J. Faulk (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:59
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    16:39

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    2-1
    0:34

3rd period

  1. CHI
    S. Jones (14), J. Toews (9)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +38 pts
    2-2
    14:56

Overtime

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (12), S. Jones (15)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:27

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·CHI 7 PIM

1st

  • 5:03STLVladimir Tarasenko · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 14:54CHIKirby Dach · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 0:28STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Jake McCabe5 min
  • 0:28CHIJake McCabe · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 10:25STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Henrik Borgstrom2 min

3rd

  • 1:37STLIvan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalSTL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 1:27 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.19D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.19S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.14J. Khaira · Goal · xG 0.11R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.10M. Hardman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.05J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.04K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04W. Kalynuk · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.03H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.03W. Kalynuk · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.00W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.00K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 1.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCHI
1.52 G
All situations
3 G1.9
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL42%58%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCHI
25
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
17
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011020.03010—25:14
55C. ParaykoD000-130.10330—24:19
47T. KrugD000-100.00000—19:51
90R. O'ReillyC000-120.080006019:40
89P. BuchnevichL112030.20202—19:01
18R. ThomasC011020.110005018:35
77N. MikkolaD000-120.11230—18:12
20B. SaadL000-100.13000—17:40
25J. KyrouR011-110.16010—17:34
49I. BarbashevL101020.24102—17:28
91V. TarasenkoR000030.11132—16:43
10B. SchennC000010.040053116:42
70O. SundqvistC000020.141105013:57
48S. PerunovichD000010.05010—13:29
21T. BozakC000-200.002108013:04
6M. ScandellaD000000.00110—12:34
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00210—11:14
57D. PerronL000010.03200—03:04
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(O)27243.8891.90-1.1061:27

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).