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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-4. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 2:54 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were COL 27, CHI 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 1.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 2 A), 3. Patrick Kane (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Kadri1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kane2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0621348627
CHICHI01109423443

Scoring

10 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar (25), S. Girard (20)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    1:15
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    16:04

3rd period

  1. COL
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    1:16
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    1:38
  3. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    2:18
  4. COL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    2:54
  5. CHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    4-3
    14:00
  6. COL
    N. Kadri(17)EN
    wristxG 0.87win prob +9 pts
    5-3
    17:58
  7. CHI
    B. Hagel (12), P. Kane (30)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +6 pts
    5-4
    18:31
  8. COL
    C. Makar(18)EN
    wristxG 0.47win prob +6 pts
    6-4
    19:47

Penalties

COL 11 PIM·CHI 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:46COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 4:32CHIHenrik Borgstrom · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 9:52COLTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min

2nd

  • 0:12CHICalvin de Haan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:24COLJ.T. Compher · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Hagel5 min
  • 6:24CHIBrandon Hagel · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Compher5 min
  • 19:51CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 5:42COLNicolas Aube-Kubel · Slashingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, 3rd 2:54 — COL 73% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.26E. Gustafsson · Goal · xG 0.25D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.03H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.00K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.00C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI4 G · 2.5 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
3.74 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.42 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.22 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL33%67%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
27
Shots on goal
43
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
26
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
22
10
Giveaways
6
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD112+120.51320—27:32
7D. ToewsD000-210.05400—24:40
91N. KadriC123031.671004821:09
49S. GirardD011000.00120—20:43
96M. RantanenR022010.130024320:39
92G. LandeskogL213020.13400—19:55
6E. JohnsonD000010.03310—18:46
3J. JohnsonD000000.03010—17:05
18A. NewhookC101040.333002516:57
95A. BurakovskyL011020.21020—16:44
13V. NichushkinR000+130.23000—16:31
37J. CompherL112+110.121254414:59
25L. O'ConnorR011030.10000—13:08
17T. JostC011010.0410210012:38
56K. MacDermidL000+110.02010—10:55
16N. Aube-KubelR000-110.05502—08:39
9D. SikuraR000000.00010—06:57
11M. MaltsevL000-100.000005006:03
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)43394.9072.51-1.4960:00

Season series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).