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Blackhawks at Avalanche
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCH+·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 2-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 11:24 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 55% to 72%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.3, COL 2.3; shots on goal were CHI 24, COL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Pavel Francouz stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Francouz (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G), 3. Devon Toews (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Francouz24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    D. Toews1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0100707024
COLCOL0811516229

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(16)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    11:24

3rd period

  1. COL
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:41

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:04COLDevon Toews · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 19:40CHIBrandon Hagel · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 9:55CHISeth Jones · Interferencedrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCHI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 2nd 11:24 — COL 55% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.27G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maltsev · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCOL
2.30 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI49%51%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCOL
24
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
23
20
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-110.01532—29:50
5C. MurphyD000030.07220—22:00
88P. KaneR000020.13000—19:54
6J. McCabeD000-110.06130—19:52
38B. HagelL000020.39112—19:16
12A. DeBrincatR000-130.14010—18:29
44C. de HaanD000030.24140—18:04
19J. ToewsC000-120.360003318:03
17D. StromeC000010.000106717:23
77K. DachC000000.141002016:46
56E. GustafssonD000000.00200—16:05
24S. LaffertyC000-100.00310015:27
23P. KurashevC000000.131002913:58
8D. KubalikL000010.08220—13:29
82C. JonesD000010.07010—11:41
13H. BorgstromC000000.0200010011:09
22R. CarpenterC000020.210003310:29
58M. EntwistleR000020.2001010007:52
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)29272.9312.27+0.2756:37

Season series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).