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Islanders at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The Islanders scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre Engvall's goal at 10:49 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 34% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 29, TOR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Jack Campbell stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack Campbell (27 saves, .931), 3. Michael Bunting (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Campbell27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Bunting2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1911109229
TORTOR19212116437

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(12)PPG
    K. Palmieri (17), R. Pulock (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    14:17
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(34)
    M. Giordano (24), M. Bunting (39)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:31

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(11)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:31
  2. TOR
    P. Engvall(14)
    A. Kerfoot (37), J. Holl (19)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:49
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(31)PPG
    J. Tavares (48), M. Bunting (40)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    13:20

3rd period

  1. TOR
    D. Kampf(10)EN
    W. Nylander (43)
    wristxG 0.83win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:51

Penalties

NYI 11 PIM·TOR 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:58TORWayne Simmonds · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 2:58NYIRoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds5 min
  • 12:39TORMichael Bunting · Holdingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

2nd

  • 12:44NYICasey Cizikas · Slashingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 14:16TORIlya Lyubushkin · Elbowingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

3rd

  • 3:17NYIZdeno Chara · Trippingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 3:56NYIAdam Pelech · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Pierre Engvall, 2nd 10:49 — TOR 34% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kampf · Goal · xG 0.83I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.76M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.26J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.24J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.22P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.15P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.12W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.08T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.07N. Abruzzese · Missed · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.05N. Abruzzese · Missed · xG 0.05T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.00T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 5.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTOR
1.92 G
All situations
3 G5.0
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI26%74%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
48
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-220.15340—22:36
6R. PulockD011040.12210—22:19
3A. PelechD000000.00122—22:17
29B. NelsonC000-150.231003819:49
27A. LeeL000-120.2021010019:46
44J. PageauC000-110.033105817:47
33Z. CharaD000-100.01122—17:31
13M. BarzalC000-210.081105517:23
12J. BaileyR101-110.10200—16:56
4A. GreeneD000040.12610—16:32
21K. PalmieriC011030.45300016:21
18A. BeauvillierR101020.13310—16:09
25S. AhoD000000.01210—14:02
53C. CizikasC000020.224224713:38
11Z. PariseL000-110.04320—13:02
17M. MartinL000000.00210—11:05
20K. BellowsL000-110.03500—10:08
32R. JohnstonL000000.00405—09:58
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)36333.9173.39+0.3958:05

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).