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Senators at Penguins
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
4
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸6
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TSN5·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 6-4. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 15:59 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.7 to 3.4; shots on goal were OTT 43, PIT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.7 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Matheson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Josh Norris (2 G), 3. Evgeni Malkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    M. Matheson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Norris2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT12207314443
PITPIT31221418634

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    D. Simon(2)
    J. Carter (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:28
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(12)
    N. Holden (3)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    10:12
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin(3)
    K. Kapanen (15), M. Matheson (11)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    11:40
  4. PIT
    M. Matheson(4)
    B. McGinn (5), T. Blueger (9)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    15:59

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(7)PPG
    B. Rust (12), K. Letang (31)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    11:32
  2. PIT
    M. Matheson(5)
    J. Carter (13), J. Marino (16)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    18:41

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(6)
    Z. Sanford (3), A. Formenton (8)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    1:45
  2. OTT
    J. Norris(17)
    D. Batherson (21), B. Tkachuk (13)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    3:33
  3. OTT
    J. Norris(18)
    E. Brannstrom (1), B. Tkachuk (14)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    4-5
    8:02
  4. PIT
    J. Guentzel(21)EN
    B. Rust (13)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    19:13

Penalties

OTT 20 PIM·PIT 18 PIM

1st

  • 6:15PITBrian Boyle · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 6:15OTTAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Brian Boyle5 min
  • 13:21OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 17:31PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Clark Bishop2 min
  • 19:47OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 19:52PITBryan Rust · Holding the stickdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min

2nd

  • 10:44OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
  • 14:06PITKasperi Kapanen · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 5:49OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 7:27PITEvan Rodrigues · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Alex Formenton0 min
  • 7:51PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
  • 7:51OTTAlex Formenton · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 19:50PITJohn Marino · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 19:50OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by John Marino5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalOTT goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 1st 15:59 — PIT 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.55E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.34S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.31M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.17S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.17B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.16S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.10M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.06D. Simon · Goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.00B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT6 G · 3.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPIT
3.44 G
All situations
5 G3.7
2.84 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT54%46%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPIT
43
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/4
20
Penalty minutes
18
56
Hits
45
9
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-130.09100—29:44
26E. BrannstromD011-140.15100—23:28
19D. BathersonR112040.30402—22:31
7B. TkachukL022090.395058819:14
18T. StützleC101-130.468001718:23
9J. NorrisC202060.884007118:03
24J. Bernard-DockerD000+100.02102—17:28
5N. HoldenD011-100.02300—17:11
2A. ZubD000020.03344—16:50
21N. PaulL000-130.251003813:57
10A. FormentonL011020.36312—13:45
27D. GambrellC000-100.115005813:05
17A. GaudetteR000000.00000—12:18
3J. BrownD000010.06320—11:57
71C. TierneyC000030.210006711:31
13Z. SanfordL011-110.016002511:19
16A. WatsonL000-100.03515—10:54
14C. BishopC000020.03310010:49
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)26233.8852.27-0.7344:40
31A. Forsberg752.7140.89-1.1114:22

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).