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Penguins at Senators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Ottawa Senators
▸6
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Sanford's goal at 5:21 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — PIT 2.8, OTT 2.7; shots on goal were PIT 31, OTT 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 3.0 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Drake Batherson (2 G, 2 A), 2. Evan Rodrigues (2 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Del Zotto (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Rodrigues2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Del Zotto1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT07012312331
OTTOTT0641424624

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    Z. Sanford(2)
    J. Bernard-Docker (1), T. Chabot (5)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:21
  2. OTT
    M. Del Zotto(1)PPG
    D. Batherson (8), C. Tierney (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    10:40
  3. OTT
    P. Kelly(1)
    L. Shaw (1), L. Thomson (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    11:07
  4. OTT
    T. Stützle(1)PPG
    D. Batherson (9), T. Chabot (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    17:49

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(6)
    T. Ennis (7), M. Del Zotto (3)
    backhandxG 0.18
    0-5
    9:40
  2. PIT
    K. Kapanen(4)
    M. Friedman (4), E. Rodrigues (5)
    wristxG 0.05
    1-5
    11:49
  3. PIT
    E. Rodrigues(5)
    K. Kapanen (5)
    slapxG 0.04
    2-5
    12:55
  4. PIT
    E. Rodrigues(6)
    K. Letang (7), J. Guentzel (6)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    15:57
  5. OTT
    D. Batherson(7)EN
    B. Tkachuk (4), J. Norris (4)
    backhandxG 0.42
    3-6
    19:11

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 16:50OTTBrady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min
  • 17:12OTTZachary Sanford · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 1:19OTTLassi Thomson · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 9:41PITJohn Marino · Interferencedrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 17:37PITJuuso Riikola · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:10PITJeff Carter · Interferencedrawn by Nick Paul2 min

3rd

  • 6:43PITMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 6:43OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 6:43OTTBrady Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPIT goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Zachary Sanford, 2nd 5:21 — OTT 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.42D. Heatherington · Missed · xG 0.33Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.18C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.18P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.17Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.15Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.14N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.12D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.08S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.06J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · Goal · xG 0.02L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01
OTT6 G · 2.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsOTT
2.83 G
All situations
5 G2.7
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT65%35%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsOTT
31
Shots on goal
24
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
30
17
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011040.33110—23:59
42K. KapanenR112+210.07100—20:15
17B. RustR000010.35000—19:31
59J. GuentzelC011010.2001010019:19
9E. RodriguesC213+240.221105518:48
6J. MarinoD000-210.03022—18:37
5M. MathesonD000020.08012—18:34
77J. CarterC000040.211123918:21
73P. JosephD000-120.04330—17:33
52M. FriedmanD011010.00310—16:17
16J. ZuckerL000+140.59100—16:09
50J. RiikolaD000+110.01212—15:08
23B. McGinnL000-110.22010—14:40
43D. HeinenL000-210.13120—14:20
53T. BluegerC000-210.061005013:32
10D. O'ConnorL000-120.08010—13:14
11B. BoyleC000-100.221106011:39
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000-100.00000—09:58
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)23185.7831.99-3.0156:55

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).