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Maple Leafs at Rangers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
New York Rangers
▸6
FinalTV TNT, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 10:50 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.9 to 2.8; shots on goal were TOR 38, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.8 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Reaves (2 G), 2. Adam Fox (2 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Strome (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    R. Reaves2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    R. Strome1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR311010017338
NYRNYR1721139627

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    I. Mikheyev(6)
    P. Engvall (9)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:44
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(8)PPG
    W. Nylander (21), J. Tavares (21)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    2-0
    3:30
  3. NYR
    R. Reaves(1)
    G. McKegg (3), A. Fox (35)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    12:52
  4. TOR
    M. Bunting(9)
    A. Matthews (16), M. Marner (17)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    17:50

2nd period

  1. NYR
    R. Reaves(2)
    K. Miller (5), J. Trouba (11)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    2:58
  2. NYR
    A. Fox(6)
    R. Strome (21), A. Panarin (29)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    17:49

3rd period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome(9)
    R. Lindgren (4), A. Panarin (30)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +32 pts
    3-4
    10:50
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(25)
    J. Trouba (12), M. Zibanejad (22)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    3-5
    15:33
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(7)EN
    M. Zibanejad (23)
    wristxG 0.58win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    17:36

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:17NYRChris Kreider · Trippingdrawn by Alex Biega2 min
  • 3:50NYRRyan Reaves · Trippingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 7:05TORPierre Engvall · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

2nd

  • 4:16NYRserved by A. Panarin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:20NYRRyan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

3rd

  • 11:20TORIlya Mikheyev · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTOR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, 3rd 10:50 — NYR 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.58F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.21C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.19K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.09K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.05P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.05K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01G. McKegg · Missed · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNYR
3.93 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.52 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR76%24%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNYR
38
Shots on goal
27
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000000.01020—27:19
78T. BrodieD000+100.00030—24:39
16M. MarnerR112-240.48100—23:57
34A. MatthewsC011-220.220004721:51
88W. NylanderR011-320.46020—19:04
91J. TavaresC011-370.680006118:29
37T. LiljegrenD000-100.00030—17:55
38R. SandinD000-220.07110—17:04
64D. KampfC000+140.330005316:43
58M. BuntingL101-110.28110—15:35
65I. MikheyevR101+140.65202—15:27
15A. KerfootC000-220.03120015:16
47P. EngvallL011+150.5700210014:42
23T. DermottD000-300.00200—12:58
33A. BiegaD000-210.00200—12:21
19J. SpezzaC000-220.150006708:59
24W. SimmondsR000-100.00200—07:37
43K. CliffordL000-120.01000—07:34
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)26215.8082.17-2.8358:30

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).