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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
3
Final/OTTV NBCSP, BSSO·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, Brett Pesce scoring at 4:42. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Pesce's goal at 4:42 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were CAR 31, PHI 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Pesce (1 G), 2. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A), 3. Patrick Brown (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Pesce1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    P. Brown1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR0221311016431
PHIPHI01111121405341

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(15)
    J. Fast (9), J. Slavin (26)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:24
  2. PHI
    G. Mayhew(6)
    J. Braun (10), I. Provorov (14)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:59
  3. CAR
    T. Teravainen(13)
    A. Svechnikov (26), S. Aho (31)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:13

3rd period

  1. PHI
    P. Brown(2)
    I. Ratcliffe (3), R. Ristolainen (10)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    5:19
  2. CAR
    V. Trocheck(14)
    M. Necas (19), I. Cole (11)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +30 pts
    3-2
    7:15
  3. PHI
    O. Lindblom(7)
    T. Konecny (22), T. Sanheim (14)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    15:07

Overtime

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce(4)
    V. Trocheck (21), J. Staal (13)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    4:42

Penalties

CAR 13 PIM·PHI 9 PIM

1st

  • 13:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 1:07CARMartin Necas · Interferencedrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 13:58PHINick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 16:50CARJesper Fast · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 16:50PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

3rd

  • 10:30CARMartin Necas · Interferencedrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 13:35PHIZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Ian Cole5 min
  • 13:35CARIan Cole · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Pesce, OT 4:42 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Brown · Goal · xG 0.37C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.25C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.22T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.19S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.17P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.17J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.12I. Ratcliffe · On goal · xG 0.12I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.12G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.10O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.10S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.09P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.08I. Ratcliffe · Missed · xG 0.08G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.04I. Ratcliffe · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03I. Ratcliffe · Missed · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03I. Ratcliffe · Missed · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.03G. Mayhew · Goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ratcliffe · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ratcliffe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ratcliffe · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 3.6 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
3.24 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.84 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR45%55%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
31
Shots on goal
41
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
9
14
Hits
22
6
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011+110.00000—29:01
22B. PesceD101-140.24000—27:37
76B. SkjeiD000-210.02140—24:29
20S. AhoC011-130.430002921:00
37A. SvechnikovR011-130.24102—18:52
28I. ColeD011+110.06415—18:26
86T. TeravainenC101-110.210106718:17
71J. FastR011+100.00102—17:06
11J. StaalC011+120.231005016:59
25E. BearD000+120.08100—16:41
16V. TrocheckC112+250.551005716:15
21N. NiederreiterR101+140.72000—14:50
88M. NecasC011+220.21104014:22
78S. LorentzC000+100.06000012:38
82J. KotkaniemiC000-100.003002011:17
18D. StepanC000-110.150006710:53
48J. MartinookL000-100.00000—10:51
77T. DeAngeloD000+110.03000—06:48
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)41383.9273.57+0.5764:26

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).