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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
Philadelphia Flyers
3
FinalTV NBCSP, BSSO·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Flyers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesperi Kotkaniemi's goal at 5:48 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 36, PHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.3 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 30 of 36 (.833), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G), 2. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Antti Raanta (20 saves, .870).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Raanta20 saves, .870

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11749110636
PHIPHI2611205323

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    I. Provorov(2)
    C. Giroux (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:50
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(9)
    T. Teravainen (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:40
  3. PHI
    J. Farabee(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:02

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(10)
    M. Necas (7), B. Pesce (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:23
  2. PHI
    R. Ristolainen(1)
    M. Frost (1), C. Atkinson (4)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    1:16
  3. CAR
    J. Fast(6)
    N. Niederreiter (2), I. Cole (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    1:45
  4. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(4)
    S. Jarvis (3), T. DeAngelo (14)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    4-3
    5:48
  5. CAR
    S. Lorentz(3)
    T. DeAngelo (15), J. Kotkaniemi (2)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    16:22

3rd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(8)
    J. Staal (6), B. Skjei (4)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    6-3
    4:50

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:50CARserved by S. Jarvis · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 7:04PHIOskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 15:38PHIJustin Braun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:00CARMartin Necas · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 9:06PHIZack MacEwen · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 9:06CARBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
  • 9:06PHIZack MacEwen · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

3rd

  • 6:45CARBrett Pesce · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 14:04PHIIvan Provorov · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jesperi Kotkaniemi, 2nd 5:48 — CAR 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.17I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.15I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.12C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.11C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.04C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · Goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 1.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
2.56 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.06 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR64%36%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
36
Shots on goal
23
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD011+110.02022—21:12
76B. SkjeiD011+110.03210—19:57
88M. NecasC011+120.2520210019:35
74J. SlavinD000040.10130—19:18
77T. DeAngeloD022010.01000—19:00
86T. TeravainenC011+230.2601010018:31
20S. AhoC202+270.600005418:15
28I. ColeD011+210.02220—16:34
11J. StaalC011-110.014003615:32
7B. SmithD000+310.03012—15:23
16V. TrocheckC000010.081003515:16
24S. JarvisR011-120.0310010014:54
82J. KotkaniemiC112+210.101005014:45
37A. SvechnikovR101020.07000—14:39
48J. MartinookL000+110.05200—14:17
21N. NiederreiterR011030.44100—13:18
78S. LorentzC101+130.2420010012:02
71J. FastR101+110.13100—11:32
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)23203.8701.73-1.2760:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).