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Predators at Coyotes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV BSAZ+, BSSO·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yakov Trenin's goal at 17:20 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 62% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were NSH 29, ARI 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Juuse Saros (38 saves, .950), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros38 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH3190515429
ARIARI012015213240

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Ekholm(2)
    L. Kunin (8), R. Johansen (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:56
  2. NSH
    Y. Trenin(9)
    M. Benning (6), E. Tolvanen (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    17:20
  3. NSH
    T. Jeannot(11)
    M. Duchene (17), R. Josi (22)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    18:56

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    2:19
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(12)PPG
    R. Johansen (19), M. Granlund (27)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    7:25
  3. ARI
    L. Crouse(9)
    R. Nash (1), C. Dineen (4)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    10:48

Penalties

NSH 38 PIM·ARI 48 PIM

1st

  • 0:58ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 0:58NSHMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 2:37ARIPhil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 2:37NSHMattias Ekholm · Slashingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min
  • 6:28NSHMatt Luff · Roughingdrawn by Dysin Mayo2 min
  • 6:28ARIDysin Mayo · Roughingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min
  • 11:05NSHAlexandre Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 12:45NSHLuke Kunin · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 15:26NSHRyan Johansen · Slashingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 16:00ARIJohan Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 19:09ARIAndrew Ladd · Interferencedrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 19:22NSHMikael Granlund · Holding the stickdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min

2nd

  • 0:56NSHTanner Jeannot · High stickingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 13:48ARIJohan Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

3rd

  • 2:44ARIAndrew Ladd · Instigatordrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 2:44NSHYakov Trenin · Roughingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 2:44ARIClayton Keller · Roughingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 2:44NSHYakov Trenin · Fightingdrawn by Andrew Ladd5 min
  • 2:44ARIAndrew Ladd · Fightingdrawn by Yakov Trenin5 min
  • 2:44ARIAndrew Ladd · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:10ARILiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 10:48NSHTanner Jeannot · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:48ARILiam O'Brien · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:48NSHserved by N. Cousins · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 12:20ARIChristian Fischer · Delaying game face off violation2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalNSH goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Yakov Trenin, 1st 17:20 — NSH 62% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.22N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.21T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.20C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.19C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.17C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.16T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.16L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.15C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.14J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.14T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.12P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.09J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.09L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.07J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.05J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dineen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 4.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsARI
2.94 G
All situations
2 G4.2
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH24%76%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 4.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsARI
29
Shots on goal
40
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/6
Power play
0/6
38
Penalty minutes
48
48
Hits
34
13
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112-170.51230—25:52
14M. EkholmD101+110.16112—22:32
45A. CarrierD000020.02122—21:24
5M. BenningD011-120.02300—21:19
64M. GranlundC011020.630125718:51
95M. DucheneC011020.370003318:36
92R. JohansenC022+120.082025016:12
11L. KuninC011+110.063122515:15
28E. TolvanenR011+230.48610—14:57
10C. SissonsC000010.135004714:54
21N. CousinsC000000.06100013:55
13Y. TreninC101+120.06107013:32
55P. MyersD000+200.02600—13:29
84T. JeannotL101010.12221210012:35
90M. BorowieckiD000+100.00405—11:30
26P. TomasinoR000-120.18400—10:15
47M. McCarronC000-100.004103309:43
24M. LuffR000-110.02312—09:05
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)40382.9504.19+2.1960:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).