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New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV MSG+, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the New York Islanders 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 10:17 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 38, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Mike Smith stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (37 saves, .974), 2. Connor McDavid (2 A), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Smith37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI018110010138
EDMEDM111113112336

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:03

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    10:17
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    15:04

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    9:14

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:44EDMMarkus Niemelainen · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

2nd

  • 13:32EDMRyan McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

3rd

  • 3:00EDMEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 9:11NYIScott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:01NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mike Smith2 min
  • 14:01EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 16:00NYIScott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNYI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 2nd 10:17 — EDM 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.18J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.15K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.15J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.15K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.05W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsEDM
3.11 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.00 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI58%42%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsEDM
38
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
6
15
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000030.20120—22:57
13M. BarzalC000040.430004320:29
29B. NelsonC000010.170104219:51
24S. MayfieldD000020.06004—19:34
6R. PulockD011-250.10330—19:31
3A. PelechD000-220.13010—19:19
27A. LeeL000030.62100—17:24
12J. BaileyR011-110.0701010016:58
33Z. CharaD000000.02510—16:36
18A. BeauvillierR101-120.18000—16:26
44J. PageauC000-120.081025616:11
26O. WahlstromR000040.34110—15:26
4A. GreeneD000010.03140—15:14
11Z. PariseL000-130.31110—14:11
15C. ClutterbuckR000-120.10510—13:26
53C. CizikasC000010.133007111:36
17M. MartinL000-120.07600—11:35
32R. JohnstonL000000.10100—10:57
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)36333.9172.73-0.2758:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).