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Oilers at Islanders
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
New York Islanders
▸3
Final/OTTV NHLN, MSG+·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Noah Dobson scoring at 3:52. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Dobson's goal at 3:52 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 19, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Ilya Sorokin stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Noah Dobson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G), 3. Anders Lee (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM062110200219
NYINYI180511412329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(10)PPG
    K. Bellows (5), N. Dobson (9)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    16:40

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(25)
    D. Keith (7), C. Ceci (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:31
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse(2)
    Z. Hyman (9), C. McDavid (34)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    17:13

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(5)
    A. Czarnik (3), R. Johnston (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    2:23

Overtime

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(5)
    M. Barzal (15), A. Pelech (5)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:52

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:42EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 16:26EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

3rd

  • 8:42EDMTyson Barrie · Slashingdrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min
  • 8:42NYIKieffer Bellows · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalEDM goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Noah Dobson, OT 3:52 — NYI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.17S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.14K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.12A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.11N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.11S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.11A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.09A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.06K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.06K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.05K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.04R. Salo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.03J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNYI
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM40%60%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNYI
19
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/0
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD101020.26022—29:38
75E. BouchardD000+130.17140—24:00
29L. DraisaitlC101+110.193005323:40
5C. CeciD011+110.01020—22:59
2D. KeithD011+100.02120—22:27
97C. McDavidC011030.641223322:01
56K. YamamotoR000010.06320—19:07
18Z. HymanL011+120.2011010017:54
14D. ShoreC000+100.11010016:50
13J. PuljujarviR000+120.09100—15:17
10D. RyanC000-110.040006212:42
22T. BarrieD000-100.00012—12:35
70C. SceviourC000-100.22100012:29
20S. KoekkoekD000-100.00000—12:25
8K. TurrisC000010.0910010011:37
37W. FoegeleL000010.10100—11:15
71R. McLeodC000000.070002510:24
16T. BensonL000-110.02300—10:02
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(O)29263.8972.81-0.1963:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).