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Avalanche at Red Wings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Detroit Red Wings
2
FinalTV BSDET, ALT·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 18:19 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were COL 31, DET 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (2 G), 2. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 3. Moritz Seider (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Kadri1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Seider2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL211110210531
DETDET07113114234

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(24)
    C. Makar (34), D. Helm (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:12
  2. COL
    T. Jost(6)
    L. O'Connor (12), A. Newhook (8)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:47

2nd period

  1. DET
    F. Zadina(7)
    M. Seider (31), D. Larkin (27)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    11:35
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(22)
    M. Rantanen (34), D. Toews (28)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    18:19

3rd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(14)
    A. Burakovsky (23), A. Newhook (9)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    2:11
  2. DET
    R. Fabbri(14)PPG
    M. Seider (32), D. Larkin (28)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    9:38
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(25)EN
    M. Rantanen (35), C. Makar (35)
    tip-inxG 0.81
    5-2
    19:21

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:30DETRobby Fabbri · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 14:28COLTyson Jost · Interferencedrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 14:28DETFilip Zadina · Trippingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min
  • 18:20COLKurtis MacDermid · Hookingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

2nd

  • 7:36COLMikko Rantanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:13DETAdam Erne · Cross checkingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 19:59DETMichael Rasmussen · Trippingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min

3rd

  • 9:14COLValeri Nichushkin · Interferencedrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCOL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 2nd 18:19 — COL 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.17L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.16G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.15T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.13F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.12S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.12C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.09A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.08L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.06M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsDET
3.84 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL43%57%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsDET
31
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
11
18
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
0
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011+420.04120—24:20
8C. MakarD022+250.19110—23:54
96M. RantanenR022+230.300024722:11
92G. LandeskogL202+251.341208021:51
49S. GirardD000010.02110—20:40
91N. KadriC101+130.290104018:59
95A. BurakovskyL011+110.55020—18:40
37J. CompherL000000.100005018:11
3J. JohnsonD000000.00210—17:11
6E. JohnsonD000+110.02410—17:05
13V. NichushkinR101+120.38002—16:30
18A. NewhookC022+240.160201713:19
28R. MurrayD000+100.00110—12:39
17T. JostC101+110.170123312:27
25L. O'ConnorR011+110.01110—10:55
43D. HelmC011+100.000203310:53
16N. Aube-KubelR000010.04000—08:24
56K. MacDermidL000010.15002—05:27
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)34322.9412.93+0.9360:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).