Skip to content
Oilers at Kraken
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Seattle Kraken
3
FinalTV ROOT-NW, CBC·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 5-3. The Oilers came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Warren Foegele's goal at 8:54 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were EDM 41, SEA 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.5 goals below expected; Chris Driedger stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Warren Foegele (2 G), 2. Ryan Donato (1 G), 3. Jordan Eberle (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    W. Foegele2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    R. Donato1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Eberle2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM22019212541
SEASEA271703317

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    R. Donato(8)
    M. Geekie (6), H. Fleury (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    0-1
    4:18
  2. SEA
    J. McCann(12)
    J. Eberle (8), J. Schwartz (14)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:07
  3. EDM
    E. Bouchard(5)
    C. Marody (1), L. Draisaitl (24)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:05
  4. EDM
    W. Foegele(4)PPG
    K. Yamamoto (2), L. Draisaitl (25)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    17:08

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. Sceviour(2)
    C. McDavid (32)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    12:52
  2. SEA
    C. Soucy(4)
    J. Lauzon (4), J. Eberle (9)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    16:33

3rd period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(5)
    E. Bouchard (13), L. Draisaitl (26)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +31 pts
    4-3
    8:54
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(17)EN
    Z. Kassian (8), C. Ceci (6)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:08

Penalties

EDM 9 PIM·SEA 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:26EDMColton Sceviour · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 2:26SEAJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Colton Sceviour5 min
  • 15:49SEAJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
  • 17:49SEACarson Soucy · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Benson2 min

2nd

  • 7:44EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

3rd

  • 16:28EDMTyson Barrie · Roughingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 16:28SEAJared McCann · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalEDM goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Warren Foegele, 3rd 8:54 — EDM 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.24J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.20J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.18R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.14R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.10M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.08C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.06A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · Goal · xG 0.03A. True · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 1.5 xG · 25 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSEA
3.64 G
All situations
3 G1.5
1.93 G
Even strength
3 G1.0
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM73%27%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSEA
41
Shots on goal
17
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/2
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
11
29
Hits
16
5
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000060.12520—26:09
29L. DraisaitlC033010.170005424:08
97C. McDavidC112+241.201006323:12
22T. BarrieD000-150.18102—22:03
5C. CeciD011-120.03110—20:26
56K. YamamotoR011-220.22102—20:15
37W. FoegeleL202+150.630005019:45
75E. BouchardD112+320.16100—17:54
42B. PerliniL000-220.07400—17:05
10D. RyanC000020.131006916:12
44Z. KassianR011+200.28400—16:07
20S. KoekkoekD000+320.02120—16:02
16T. BensonL000010.11200—15:10
70C. SceviourC101+150.1920510015:02
84W. LagessonD000-210.01400—14:49
65C. MarodyC011010.09000006:04
23S. GriffithC000+100.00100005:37
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)17143.8241.48-1.5260:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).