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Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colin Blackwell's goal at 13:06 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 32, SEA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.8 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Alexander Wennberg (1 G), 2. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Larsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    A. Wennberg1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    A. Larsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11315114332
SEASEA214210010434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:49
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    6:41
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    10:38

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:12
  2. SEA
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    13:06
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    15:53

3rd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    11:44

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·SEA 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:11SEAAdam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 18:24SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 19:02EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

2nd

  • 4:04EDMKailer Yamamoto · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 18:14SEAAlexander Wennberg · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 9:40EDMKailer Yamamoto · Interferencedrawn by Kole Lind2 min
  • 14:40EDMWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 18:29SEAAdam Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalEDM goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Colin Blackwell, 2nd 13:06 — SEA 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.29C. Blackwell · Goal · xG 0.21A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.13M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.04A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.04A. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 2.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSEA
2.73 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM58%42%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSEA
32
Shots on goal
34
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC112030.282004325:53
22T. BarrieD000-320.08010—25:13
75E. BouchardD112+220.14020—24:37
29L. DraisaitlC112+140.640004223:05
18Z. HymanL000-100.0900010022:40
6K. RussellD000-230.05140—22:36
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC022050.290024019:39
84W. LagessonD000+120.05000—16:48
56K. YamamotoR000000.03004—16:07
13J. PuljujarviR011030.45000—15:52
80M. NiemelainenD000-100.00730—13:39
86P. BrobergD000-110.06020—12:20
70C. SceviourC000030.13200011:59
10D. RyanC000-100.000005011:07
37W. FoegeleL000-130.20102—09:34
44Z. KassianR000-200.00100—08:48
71R. McLeodC000-110.171005607:29
42B. PerliniL000-100.00100—06:29
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)34304.8822.25-1.7558:05

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).