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Stars at Sharks
NHL

Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
San Jose Sharks
▸2
FinalTV BSSW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Dallas Stars 2-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 16:28 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were DAL 35, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 23 of 25 (.920); James Reimer stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James Reimer (34 saves, .971), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G), 3. Braden Holtby (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    J. Reimer34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    B. Holtby23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL014010111135
SJSSJS1611108225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(14)
    T. Meier (16), A. Barabanov (11)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:30

2nd period

  1. SJS
    E. Karlsson(8)
    T. Meier (17), A. Barabanov (12)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    16:28

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Raffl(3)
    J. Hakanpää (5), R. Faksa (7)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    8:26

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:24SJSErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 19:45SJSJasper Weatherby · Delaying game2 min

2nd

  • 3:46DALDenis Gurianov · Slashingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 8:25SJSMatt Nieto · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 16:28DALserved by A. Radulov · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalDAL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, 2nd 16:28 — SJS 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.39B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.22T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.11N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.11E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dahlen · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSJS
2.61 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL62%38%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSJS
35
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
29
6
Giveaways
5
9
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000040.18000—24:06
4M. HeiskanenD000020.07110—23:14
47A. RadulovR000-110.2501010020:46
16J. PavelskiC000-120.314005620:24
3J. KlingbergD000-210.12000—19:36
14J. BennL000-150.242006719:13
91T. SeguinC000040.34210018:06
23E. LindellD000-200.00000—17:39
21J. RobertsonL000+120.09100—16:40
2J. HakanpääD011+110.02320—16:32
34D. GurianovR000010.09132—16:20
18M. RafflL101+120.12000—15:43
5A. SekeraD000+120.04000—15:38
12R. FaksaC011+100.002005015:31
11L. GlendeningC000-110.090205011:40
64T. KeroC000020.22010010:41
40J. PetersonC000-130.41000010:05
25J. KivirantaL000-120.06000—05:52
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)25232.9201.98-0.0258:14

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).